Urban Electric Load Forecasting in China Using Combined Cellular Automata

H Yongxiu, L Dezhi, F Rui, Y Lifang, Furong Li

Research output: Contribution to conferencePaper

2 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

With the high-speed economic development in China, the transition of structural function in the urban land system highly effects the development of the urban electric load. Forecasting the urban electric load accurately is the foundation of decision making scientifically for the development and planning of the urban power grid in China. This paper improves the decision method of Transition Matrices of Land Use and Cover Change though integrating Cellular Automation with Markov Model firstly. Then, the combined cellular automation model is used to simulate the urban land function evolvement and forecast the land functions in the future as the start point for electric load forecasting. Considering the changes of urban land functions, electric load density, the urban electric load forecasting model is proposed. Finally, the model validation is performed by comparing model predictions with the load data though case study. The results obtained show the accuracy of the adopted methodology for urban load forecasting.
Original languageEnglish
Pages7-10
Number of pages4
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2008
Event2008 International Workshop on Modelling, Simulation and Optimization, WMSO 2008 - Hong Kong, China
Duration: 27 Dec 200828 Dec 2008

Conference

Conference2008 International Workshop on Modelling, Simulation and Optimization, WMSO 2008
CountryChina
CityHong Kong
Period27/12/0828/12/08

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