Abstract

We consider a stochastic model, called the replicator coalescent, describing a system of blocks of k different types that undergo pairwise mergers at rates depending on the block types: with rate Cij ≥ blocks of type i and j merge, resulting in a single block of type i. The replicator coalescent can be seen as a generalisation of Kingman's coalescent death chain in a multi-type setting, although without an underpinning exchangeable partition structure. The name is derived from a remarkable connection between the instantaneous dynamics of this multi-type coalescent when issued from an arbitrarily large number of blocks, and the so-called replicator equations from evolutionary game theory. By dilating time arbitrarily close to zero, we see that initially, on coming down from infinity, the replicator coalescent behaves like the solution to a certain replicator equation. Thereafter, stochastic effects are felt and the process evolves more in the spirit of a multi-type death chain.

Original languageEnglish
Number of pages15
JournalJournal of Applied Probability
Early online date24 Jun 2025
DOIs
Publication statusE-pub ahead of print - 24 Jun 2025

Funding

LP was visiting TR and AEK as part of a doctoral visiting programme sponsored by the Internationalisation Research Office at the University of Bath. She would like to thank the university for their support. AEK and TR acknowledge EPSRC grant support from EP/S036202/1.

Keywords

  • coalescent
  • coming down from infinity
  • Markov chain

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Statistics and Probability
  • General Mathematics
  • Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty

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