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The Rationality Bias

  • Deutsche Bundesbank
  • Montpellier Business School
  • Lancaster University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

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Abstract

We analyze differences in consumption and wealth in an estimated NewKeynesian model with rational and boundedly rational households. Shocksare shown to cause consumption and wealth heterogeneity due to the “rationality bias” of boundedly rational households. This bias can be decomposedinto three components, which, for certain specifications of monetary policy, can exactly offset each other. Moreover, a more hawkish response to infla-tion leads to more volatility in consumption and wealth heterogeneity, whichmakes it optimal for the central bank to set lower coefficients in the Taylorrule than would have been the case under homogeneous rational expectations.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)515-547
JournalJournal of Money, Credit and Banking
Volume57
Issue number2-3
Early online date15 Feb 2024
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 24 Mar 2025

Acknowledgements

Open access funding enabled and organized by Projekt DEAL.

Funding

Further, we thankfully acknowledge the financial support of the Hans Böckler Foundation (PK 045: Makroökonomik bei beschränkter Rationalität)

Keywords

  • heterogeneous expectations
  • monetary policy
  • bounded rationality

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