Abstract
The May 2024 geomagnetic storm was the largest for over 20 years. The storm was categorized as a ‘low-level’ G5, where G5 is the highest on the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) scale for geomagnetic storms, yet the individual solar eruptive events were not particularly severe, and the observed impacts were relatively minor. The impacts that were observed were due to the combined and sustained effect of five successive earthward-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) which drove the storm. The event exposed the weakness of the current storm classification system which does not discriminate between low impact and high impact G5 events; it exercised the UK Met Office forecasting system, communications and UK preparedness; and it highlighted key areas that need to be addressed, particularly relating to national power supplies, space traffic management, aviation, forecasting and data gaps. Here, we set out what happened, record some of the key impacts, discuss what went well and what needs to be improved. We make 14 recommendations relevant to four government departments, so that the UK can be better prepared for a low-probability, high-impact space weather event described in the reasonable worst-case scenario that informs the national risk register.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Article number | 251943 |
| Number of pages | 23 |
| Journal | Royal Society Open Science |
| Volume | 13 |
| Issue number | 4 |
| Early online date | 29 Apr 2026 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 30 Apr 2026 |
Data Availability Statement
Data and imagery from the Atmospheric Imaging Assembly (AIA) instrument on the Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) spacecraft and the LASCO coronagraph instrument on the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) spacecraft used for figure 1 are available via jHelioviewer https://www.jhelioviewer.org. Data from the Hartland magnetometer are available via https://intermagnet.org. Data from the University of Surrey neutron monitor and the MAIRE-S model are available via https://spaceweather.surrey.ac.uk/surreyneutronmonitor.php. Data from the Oulu neutron monitor are available via https://cosmicrays.oulu.fi. GNSS observations used for figure 5 are available through the International GNSS Service (IGS) at https://igs.org/. Data from Space-Track (https://www.space-track.org) were used to assess changes to the ICESat-2 orbit following the storm.Acknowledgements
We thank staff at the Met Office Space Weather Operations Centre for valuable information, Craig Rodger and the Solar Tsunami team for their information on the New Zealand power grid, and Hugh Evans and Ingmar Sandberg for helpful discussions on satellite data from LEO. We also thank two anonymous referees fortheir helpful comments.
Funding
R.B.H. was supported by Natural Environment Research Council (NERC) grant NE/Y006178/1 PRESCIENT (2024-2028).
Keywords
- geomagnetic storm
- science policy
- space weather
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- General
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