Abstract
We explore the dynamics of the Scottish National Party (SNP) support using the British Household Panel Survey (BHPS) during 1999–06. We study the relative importance of political sentiments and egocentric economic evaluations by disentangling the effects of state dependence and unobserved heterogeneity by gender. Egocentric economic evaluations constitute an important determinant of SNP support over the entire period, being this effect stronger among the male electorate. The results are consistent with the electors holding the incumbent Labour Party accountable for their personal financial situation, though financial security augments the nationalist propensity among partisan voters. Furthermore, retrospective economic evaluations form a significant determinant of incumbent Labour Party support in both the 1999–02 and 2003–06 intervening electoral cycles.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 192-213 |
| Number of pages | 22 |
| Journal | European Journal of Political Economy |
| Volume | 52 |
| Early online date | 23 Jun 2017 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 31 Mar 2018 |
Bibliographical note
Funding Information:We thank Stanislav Kolenikov, Pedro Albarr?n, Raquel Carrasco, the editor and two anonymous reviewers for helpful comments and suggestions. We gratefully acknowledge partial financial support from the Spanish Ministerio de Econom?a y Competitividad and the Fondo Europeo de Desarrollo Regional through the grants ECO2013-43119-P, ECO2015-70540-P, ECO2016-77200-P (MINECO/FEDER), and the University of Alicante through the grant GRE13-04. The views presented in this paper are the authors' and do not reflect those of the BHPS data depositors, namely, the Institute for Social and Economic Research at the University of Essex, U.K.
Funding Information:
We thank Stanislav Kolenikov, Pedro Albarrán, Raquel Carrasco, the editor and two anonymous reviewers for helpful comments and suggestions. We gratefully acknowledge partial financial support from the Spanish Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad and the Fondo Europeo de Desarrollo Regional through the grants ECO2013-43119-P , ECO2015-70540-P , ECO2016-77200-P (MINECO/FEDER), and the University of Alicante through the grant GRE13-04 . The views presented in this paper are the authors' and do not reflect those of the BHPS data depositors, namely, the Institute for Social and Economic Research at the University of Essex, U.K.
Publisher Copyright:
© 2017 Elsevier B.V.
Funding
We thank Stanislav Kolenikov, Pedro Albarr?n, Raquel Carrasco, the editor and two anonymous reviewers for helpful comments and suggestions. We gratefully acknowledge partial financial support from the Spanish Ministerio de Econom?a y Competitividad and the Fondo Europeo de Desarrollo Regional through the grants ECO2013-43119-P, ECO2015-70540-P, ECO2016-77200-P (MINECO/FEDER), and the University of Alicante through the grant GRE13-04. The views presented in this paper are the authors' and do not reflect those of the BHPS data depositors, namely, the Institute for Social and Economic Research at the University of Essex, U.K. We thank Stanislav Kolenikov, Pedro Albarrán, Raquel Carrasco, the editor and two anonymous reviewers for helpful comments and suggestions. We gratefully acknowledge partial financial support from the Spanish Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad and the Fondo Europeo de Desarrollo Regional through the grants ECO2013-43119-P , ECO2015-70540-P , ECO2016-77200-P (MINECO/FEDER), and the University of Alicante through the grant GRE13-04 . The views presented in this paper are the authors' and do not reflect those of the BHPS data depositors, namely, the Institute for Social and Economic Research at the University of Essex, U.K.
Keywords
- Egocentric economic evaluations
- Political preferences
- Unobserved heterogeneity
- Voting
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Economics and Econometrics
- Political Science and International Relations