TY - JOUR
T1 - The dynamics of political party support and egocentric economic evaluations
T2 - The Scottish case
AU - Chrysanthou, Georgios Marios
AU - Guilló, María Dolores
N1 - Funding Information:
We thank Stanislav Kolenikov, Pedro Albarr?n, Raquel Carrasco, the editor and two anonymous reviewers for helpful comments and suggestions. We gratefully acknowledge partial financial support from the Spanish Ministerio de Econom?a y Competitividad and the Fondo Europeo de Desarrollo Regional through the grants ECO2013-43119-P, ECO2015-70540-P, ECO2016-77200-P (MINECO/FEDER), and the University of Alicante through the grant GRE13-04. The views presented in this paper are the authors' and do not reflect those of the BHPS data depositors, namely, the Institute for Social and Economic Research at the University of Essex, U.K.
Funding Information:
We thank Stanislav Kolenikov, Pedro Albarrán, Raquel Carrasco, the editor and two anonymous reviewers for helpful comments and suggestions. We gratefully acknowledge partial financial support from the Spanish Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad and the Fondo Europeo de Desarrollo Regional through the grants ECO2013-43119-P , ECO2015-70540-P , ECO2016-77200-P (MINECO/FEDER), and the University of Alicante through the grant GRE13-04 . The views presented in this paper are the authors' and do not reflect those of the BHPS data depositors, namely, the Institute for Social and Economic Research at the University of Essex, U.K.
Publisher Copyright:
© 2017 Elsevier B.V.
PY - 2018/3/31
Y1 - 2018/3/31
N2 - We explore the dynamics of the Scottish National Party (SNP) support using the British Household Panel Survey (BHPS) during 1999–06. We study the relative importance of political sentiments and egocentric economic evaluations by disentangling the effects of state dependence and unobserved heterogeneity by gender. Egocentric economic evaluations constitute an important determinant of SNP support over the entire period, being this effect stronger among the male electorate. The results are consistent with the electors holding the incumbent Labour Party accountable for their personal financial situation, though financial security augments the nationalist propensity among partisan voters. Furthermore, retrospective economic evaluations form a significant determinant of incumbent Labour Party support in both the 1999–02 and 2003–06 intervening electoral cycles.
AB - We explore the dynamics of the Scottish National Party (SNP) support using the British Household Panel Survey (BHPS) during 1999–06. We study the relative importance of political sentiments and egocentric economic evaluations by disentangling the effects of state dependence and unobserved heterogeneity by gender. Egocentric economic evaluations constitute an important determinant of SNP support over the entire period, being this effect stronger among the male electorate. The results are consistent with the electors holding the incumbent Labour Party accountable for their personal financial situation, though financial security augments the nationalist propensity among partisan voters. Furthermore, retrospective economic evaluations form a significant determinant of incumbent Labour Party support in both the 1999–02 and 2003–06 intervening electoral cycles.
KW - Egocentric economic evaluations
KW - Political preferences
KW - Unobserved heterogeneity
KW - Voting
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85021837925&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2017.06.003
DO - 10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2017.06.003
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85021837925
SN - 0176-2680
VL - 52
SP - 192
EP - 213
JO - European Journal of Political Economy
JF - European Journal of Political Economy
ER -