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The causal effect of education on political preferences: Evidence from the UK’s higher education expansion

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Abstract

We estimate the causal effect of education on political preferences exploiting a large expansion in the supply of higher education in the UK as a result of the Further and Higher Education Act (1992). We use this exogenous policy change to instrument years of schooling and find that an additional year of education decreases the likelihood of voting for the right-of-centre Conservative party by 8.4 percentage points, and decreased the probability of voting ‘Leave’ in the 2016 Brexit referendum by 4.9pp.
Original languageEnglish
Place of PublicationSchool of Economics, University of Nottingham
PublisherNottingham Interdisciplinary Centre for Economic and Political Research
Pages1-43
Number of pages43
Volume 2025
ISBN (Electronic)2397-9771
Publication statusPublished - Mar 2025

Publication series

NameNICEP Working Papers

Keywords

  • Higher education (HE)
  • Political preferences
  • Voting behavior
  • Brexit
  • Conservative
  • Liberal values
  • Further education
  • Education expansion

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