Abstract
We consider testing for the presence of a change in mean, at an unknown point in the sample, in data that are possibly fractionally integrated, and of unknown order. This testing problem has recently been considered in a number of papers, most notably Shao (2011, "A Simple Test of Changes in Mean in the Possible Presence of Long-Range Dependence." Journal of Time Series Analysis 32:598-606) and Iacone, Leybourne, and Taylor (2013b, "A Fixed-b Test for a Break in Level at an Unknown Time under Fractional Integration." Journal of Time Series Analysis 35:40-54) who employ Wald-type statistics based on OLS estimation and rely on a self-normalization to overcome the fact that the standard Wald statistic does not have a well-defined limiting distribution across different values of the memory parameter. Here, we consider an alternative approach that uses the standard Wald statistic but is based on quasi-GLS estimation to control for the effect of the memory parameter. We show that this approach leads to significant improvements in asymptotic local power.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Journal | Journal of Time Series Econometrics |
| Volume | 9 |
| Issue number | 1 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - Jan 2017 |
Bibliographical note
Publisher Copyright:© 2016, Walter de Gruyter GmbH. All rights reserved.
Keywords
- Change in mean
- Fractional integration
- Wald statistic
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Economics and Econometrics
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