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Testing for a change in mean under fractional integration

  • York University
  • University of Nottingham
  • University of Essex

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

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Abstract

We consider testing for the presence of a change in mean, at an unknown point in the sample, in data that are possibly fractionally integrated, and of unknown order. This testing problem has recently been considered in a number of papers, most notably Shao (2011, "A Simple Test of Changes in Mean in the Possible Presence of Long-Range Dependence." Journal of Time Series Analysis 32:598-606) and Iacone, Leybourne, and Taylor (2013b, "A Fixed-b Test for a Break in Level at an Unknown Time under Fractional Integration." Journal of Time Series Analysis 35:40-54) who employ Wald-type statistics based on OLS estimation and rely on a self-normalization to overcome the fact that the standard Wald statistic does not have a well-defined limiting distribution across different values of the memory parameter. Here, we consider an alternative approach that uses the standard Wald statistic but is based on quasi-GLS estimation to control for the effect of the memory parameter. We show that this approach leads to significant improvements in asymptotic local power.

Original languageEnglish
JournalJournal of Time Series Econometrics
Volume9
Issue number1
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Jan 2017

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2016, Walter de Gruyter GmbH. All rights reserved.

Keywords

  • Change in mean
  • Fractional integration
  • Wald statistic

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Economics and Econometrics

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