Social tipping points and Earth systems dynamics

R. A. Bentley, Eleanor J. Maddison, P. H. Ranner, John Bissell, Camila C. S. Caiado, Pojanath Bhatanacharoen, Timothy Clark, Marc Botha, Folarin Akinbami, Matthew Hollow, Ranald Michie, Brian Huntley, Sarah E. Curtis, Philip Garnett

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Abstract

Recently, Early Warning Signals (EWS) have been developed to predict tipping points in Earth Systems. This discussion highlights the potential to apply EWS to human social and economic systems, which may also undergo similar critical transitions. Social tipping points are particularly difficult to predict, however, and the current formulation of EWS, based on a physical system analogy, may be insufficient. As an alternative set of EWS for social systems, we join with other authors encouraging a focus on heterogeneity, connectivity through social networks and individual thresholds to change.
Original languageEnglish
JournalFrontiers in Environmental Science
Volume2
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 19 Aug 2014

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Bentley, R. A., Maddison, E. J., Ranner, P. H., Bissell, J., Caiado, C. C. S., Bhatanacharoen, P., ... Garnett, P. (2014). Social tipping points and Earth systems dynamics. Frontiers in Environmental Science, 2. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2014.00035