Role of mathematical modelling in future pandemic response policy

Christina Pagel; Christian A Yates

doi:10.1136/bmj-2022-070615

Role of mathematical modelling in future pandemic response policy

Christina Pagel, Christian A Yates

University College London

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Abstract

Key messages
Mathematical modelling is intrinsically difficult given the complexity of relationships between parameters and difficulty quantifying those parameters
Modelling needs input from a much wider range of sources including domain experts
Data sharing and communication of results could be improved
Policy makers and the public often had poor understanding of key concepts such as exponential growth and the limitations of long-term forecasting

Original language	English
Article number	e070615
Journal	BMJ (Clinical research ed.)
Volume	378
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj-2022-070615
Publication status	Published - 15 Sept 2022

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This article has been accepted for publication in the BMJ, 2022 following peer review, and the Version of Record can be accessed online at https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj-2022-070615 © Authors (or their employer(s)) 2022.
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Role of mathematical modelling in future pandemic response policy

Abstract

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