TY - JOUR
T1 - Risk assessment of urban network planning in china based on the matter-element model and extension analysis
AU - He, Yong-xiu
AU - Dai, Ai-ying
AU - Zhu, Jiang
AU - He, Hai-ying
AU - Li, Furong
PY - 2011/3
Y1 - 2011/3
N2 - The practice of urban power network planning in China is facing more and more complex risks. The nature of the risks themselves is unclear and uncertain. In order to ensure that urban power networks are planned in a scientific manner, a reasonable risk assessment needs to be performed. Based on extension analysis and the matter-element extension theory, a model of risk evaluation designed to be applied to urban power network planning is put forward in this paper. This model has the advantage that it conveniently quantifies the qualitative indices. At the same time, it also overcomes the main limitation of the matter-element method, namely, that if the risk index exceeds the risk grading standard, it can not be calculated using the correlation function. Finally, taking a specific urban power network as an example, the empirical analysis results show that this model is credible and practical.
AB - The practice of urban power network planning in China is facing more and more complex risks. The nature of the risks themselves is unclear and uncertain. In order to ensure that urban power networks are planned in a scientific manner, a reasonable risk assessment needs to be performed. Based on extension analysis and the matter-element extension theory, a model of risk evaluation designed to be applied to urban power network planning is put forward in this paper. This model has the advantage that it conveniently quantifies the qualitative indices. At the same time, it also overcomes the main limitation of the matter-element method, namely, that if the risk index exceeds the risk grading standard, it can not be calculated using the correlation function. Finally, taking a specific urban power network as an example, the empirical analysis results show that this model is credible and practical.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=79952008675&partnerID=8YFLogxK
UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijepes.2010.12.037
U2 - 10.1016/j.ijepes.2010.12.037
DO - 10.1016/j.ijepes.2010.12.037
M3 - Article
SN - 0142-0615
VL - 33
SP - 775
EP - 782
JO - International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems
JF - International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems
IS - 3
ER -