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Predicting oscillations in complex networks with delayed feedback

  • Shijie Liu
  • , Jinliang Han
  • , Jianming Liu
  • , Tim Rogers
  • , Yongzheng Sun
  • China University of Mining and Technology

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

Abstract

Oscillatory dynamics are common features of complex networks, often playing essential roles in regulating function. Across scales from gene regulatory networks to ecosystems, delayed feedback mechanisms are key drivers of system-scale oscillations. The analysis and prediction of such dynamics are highly challenging, however, due to the combination of high-dimensionality, nonlinearity and delay. Here, we investigate how structural complexity and delayed feedback are associated with oscillatory dynamics in complex systems, and provide an analytical approach combining theoretical dimension reduction and data-driven prediction. We reveal that oscillations emerge from the interplay of structural complexity and delay, with reduced models uncovering their critical thresholds and showing that greater connectivity lowers the delay required for their onset. Our theory is empirically tested in an experiment on a programmable electronic circuit, where oscillations are observed once structural complexity and feedback delay exceeded the critical thresholds predicted by our theory. Finally, we deploy a reservoir computing pipeline to accurately predict the onset of oscillations directly from time-series data. Our findings deepen understanding of oscillatory regulation and provide useful insights into predicting dynamics in complex networks.

Original languageEnglish
Article number024214
Number of pages11
JournalPhysical Review E
Volume114
Issue number2
Early online date17 Aug 2026
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 31 Aug 2026

Data Availability Statement

All real ecological network data supporting the findings of this study are publicly available [61]. The simulation code supporting this work is available for download [64].

Funding

This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 12271519), the Shenzhen Science and Technology Program (Grant No. JCYJ20240813101300001), the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities (Grants No. 2023ZDYQ11005 and No. 2024KYJD2002).

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Statistical and Nonlinear Physics
  • Statistics and Probability
  • Condensed Matter Physics

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