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Policlim: A Dataset of Climate Change Discourse in the Political Manifestos of Forty-Five Countries from 1990 to 2022

Mary Sanford, Silvia Pianta, Nicolas Schmid, Giorgio Musto

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

With ambitious action required to achieve global climate mitigation goals, climate change has become increasingly salient in the political arena. This article presents a dataset of climate change salience in 1,792 political manifestos of 620 political parties across different party families in forty-five OECD, European, and South American countries from 1990 to 2022. Importantly, our measure uniquely isolates climate change salience, avoiding the conflation with general environmental and sustainability content found in other work. Exploiting recent advances in supervised machine learning, we developed the dataset by fine-tuning a pre-trained multilingual transformer with human coding, employing a resource-efficient and replicable pipeline for multilingual text classification that can serve as a template for similar tasks. The dataset unlocks new avenues of research on the political discourse of climate change, on the role of parties in climate policy making, and on the political economy of climate change. We make the model and the dataset available to the research community.

Original languageEnglish
Article numbere131
JournalBritish Journal of Political Science
Volume55
Early online date23 Oct 2025
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 23 Oct 2025
Externally publishedYes

Data Availability Statement

Replication data for this paper can be found in Harvard Dataverse at https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/OXMPTR.

Acknowledgements

The authors would like to thank Doina Vasilev and Marie Holzer for excellent research assistance, and Max Callaghan for input on the modelling framework. They also thank participants of the Political Dynamics and Consequences of Climate Policy workshop at Bocconi University, the 2024 COMPTEXT Conference, the 2024 What Works Climate Solutions Summit, the King’s College Public Policy and Regulation Workshop, members of the Environmental Politics and Governance community, Italo Colantone, and Fay Farstad and members of her PARTYCLIM team for very useful feedback and commentary. They are also grateful to the Manifesto Project team for all of their efforts to make the manifesto data freely available to researchers.

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 13 - Climate Action
    SDG 13 Climate Action

Keywords

  • climate change
  • computational text analysis
  • machine learning
  • political manifestos
  • political parties

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Political Science and International Relations

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