Abstract
We study the joint laws of a continuous, uniformly integrable martingale, its maximum, and its minimum. In particular, we give explicit martingale inequalities which provide upper and lower bounds on the joint exit probabilities of a martingale, given its terminal law. Moreover, by constructing explicit and novel solutions to the Skorokhod embedding problem, we show that these bounds are tight. Together with previous results of Az\'ema & Yor, Perkins, Jacka and Cox & Ob{\l}\'oj, this allows us to completely characterise the upper and lower bounds on all possible exit/no-exit probabilities, subject to a given terminal law of the martingale. In addition, we determine some further properties of these bounds, considered as functions of the maximum and minimum.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 3280–3300 |
| Number of pages | 21 |
| Journal | Stochastic Processes and their Applications |
| Volume | 125 |
| Issue number | 8 |
| Early online date | 24 Mar 2015 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - Aug 2015 |
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