TY - JOUR
T1 - On joint distributions of the maximum, minimum and terminal value of a continuous uniformly integrable martingale
AU - Cox, Alexander M. G.
AU - Obłój, Jan
PY - 2015/8
Y1 - 2015/8
N2 - We study the joint laws of a continuous, uniformly integrable martingale, its maximum, and its minimum. In particular, we give explicit martingale inequalities which provide upper and lower bounds on the joint exit probabilities of a martingale, given its terminal law. Moreover, by constructing explicit and novel solutions to the Skorokhod embedding problem, we show that these bounds are tight. Together with previous results of Az\'ema & Yor, Perkins, Jacka and Cox & Ob{\l}\'oj, this allows us to completely characterise the upper and lower bounds on all possible exit/no-exit probabilities, subject to a given terminal law of the martingale. In addition, we determine some further properties of these bounds, considered as functions of the maximum and minimum.
AB - We study the joint laws of a continuous, uniformly integrable martingale, its maximum, and its minimum. In particular, we give explicit martingale inequalities which provide upper and lower bounds on the joint exit probabilities of a martingale, given its terminal law. Moreover, by constructing explicit and novel solutions to the Skorokhod embedding problem, we show that these bounds are tight. Together with previous results of Az\'ema & Yor, Perkins, Jacka and Cox & Ob{\l}\'oj, this allows us to completely characterise the upper and lower bounds on all possible exit/no-exit probabilities, subject to a given terminal law of the martingale. In addition, we determine some further properties of these bounds, considered as functions of the maximum and minimum.
UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.spa.2015.03.005
UR - http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304414915000848
U2 - 10.1016/j.spa.2015.03.005
DO - 10.1016/j.spa.2015.03.005
M3 - Article
SN - 0304-4149
VL - 125
SP - 3280
EP - 3300
JO - Stochastic Processes and their Applications
JF - Stochastic Processes and their Applications
IS - 8
ER -