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Making all pairwise comparisons in multi-arm clinical trials without control treatment

T. Burnett, T. Jaki

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

The standard paradigm for confirmatory clinical trials is to compare experimental treatments with a control, for example, the standard of care or a placebo. However, it is not always the case that a suitable control exists. Efficient statistical methodology is well studied in the setting of randomized controlled trials. This is not the case if one wishes to compare several experimental treatments with no control arm. We propose hypothesis testing methods suitable for use in such a setting. These methods are efficient, ensuring the error rate is controlled at exactly the desired rate with no conservatism. This in turn yields an improvement in power when compared with standard methods one might otherwise consider using, such as a Bonferroni adjustment. The proposed testing procedure is also highly flexible. We show how it may be extended for use in multistage adaptive trials, covering the majority of scenarios in which one might consider the use of such procedures in the clinical trials setting. With such a highly flexible nature, these methods may also be applied more broadly outside of a clinical trials setting.

Original languageEnglish
Article numberujag048
Number of pages8
JournalBiometrics
Volume82
Issue number1
Early online date27 Mar 2026
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 31 Mar 2026

Data Availability Statement

No new data were generated or analyzed in support of this
research.

Acknowledgements

For the purpose of open access, the author has applied a Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) licence to any Author Accepted Manuscript version arising

Funding

This research was supported by the NIHR Cambridge Biomedical Research Centre (BRC-1215-20014). T. Jaki received funding from the UK Medical Research Council (MC_UU_00002/14, MC_UU_00040/03). The views expressed in this publication are those of the authors. They are not necessarily those of the NHS, the National Institute for Health Research or the Department of Health and Social Care (DHSC). The funders and associated partners are not responsible for any use that may be made of the information contained herein.

Keywords

  • adaptive designs
  • clinical trials
  • family-wise error rate
  • multistage
  • mutiple testing
  • pairwise comparisons

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Statistics and Probability
  • General Medicine
  • General Immunology and Microbiology
  • General Biochemistry,Genetics and Molecular Biology
  • General Agricultural and Biological Sciences
  • Applied Mathematics

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