Macroeconomic Adjustment and Private Manufacturing Investment in Turkey: A Time-Series Analysis

Oner Guncavdi, Andrew McKay

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2 Citations (SciVal)


Despite the drastic switch to market-based policies and outward orientation in Turkey during the 1980s, private investment in manufacturing industry has still not revived after seventeen years of structural adjustment. This paper examines the main determinants of private investment in the manufacturing sector and the impacts of structural adjustment (particularly financial liberalisation as an integral part of the reform) on it. The results show that liberalisation policies in financial markets appear to have positive effects by reducing the stringency of quantity constraints on investment while the high interest rates resulting from financial liberalisation had no significant impact on investment. Macroeconomic instability, proxied by the variability of the inflation rate, seems to have discouraged investment in manufacturing.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1901-09
Number of pages9
JournalApplied Economics
Issue number18
Publication statusPublished - 2003


  • Capacity (E220)
  • Industrialization
  • Financial Markets
  • Corporate Finance and Governance (O160)
  • Economic Development
  • Capital
  • Saving and Capital Investment
  • Choice of Technology (O140)
  • Manufacturing and Service Industries
  • Investment


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