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Integrated tick management strategies in fragmented peridomestic environments

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Borrelia burgdorferi (Bb) is a tick-borne zoonosis. Humans are not competent for transmission, but can become infected and develop Lyme disease (LD) via the bite of an infected blacklegged tick. Over the last decades, there has been a sustained increase in Borrelia prevalence in wildlife in North America, leading to an increase in spillover events, particularly in residential areas that border woodland. Understanding tick ecology is essential for predicting the spread of LD, informing control strategies, and assessing the impact of environmental changes. In this study, we develop a hybrid deterministic-stochastic metapopulation model for tick population dynamics in a fragmented peridomestic environment. Our principal aim is to elucidate how deer movement and the treatment of deer with acaricides affect the density of infected blacklegged nymphs (DIN) and the parasite basic reproduction number R 0. Deer are primary hosts for adult ticks and can move over large distances, transporting feeding ticks in the process. Deer tend to visit peridomestic areas in small numbers. Consequently, deer location is inherently stochastic and the tick population dynamics are drawn into this stochasticity. When we implement the model for a simple landscape consisting of two patches connected by deer movement we find that the DIN quasi-steady state values are reduced if the acaricides administered to deer are more effective, last longer, or are applied more frequently. When deer movement behaviour is biased towards areas with higher feeder availability (independent of whether they include an acaricide treatment), the redistribution deer and the transportation of ticks by moving deer can drive up the local DIN even if those feeders include an acaricide treatment and mice are targetted with acaricide treatment elsewhere. Our results suggest that maintaining deer feeders for acaricide administration in land away from peridomestic areas could be a more effective strategy for reducing human infection risk than placing those feeders in peridomestic areas. Since this strategy concentrates the tick population in the area with the feeder, further depletion or eradication may be possible if acaricide is also administered to the mice there.

Original languageEnglish
Article number112534
Number of pages13
JournalJournal of Theoretical Biology
Volume633
Early online date27 Jun 2026
DOIs
Publication statusE-pub ahead of print - 27 Jun 2026

Bibliographical note

For the purpose of open access, the author has applied a Creative Commons Attribution (CC-BY) license to any Author Accepted Manuscript version arising.

Data Availability Statement

All code used to produce the results in this piece of work can be found at https://github.com/ahb48/Integrated-tick-management.

Acknowledgements

We would like to thank Maria Diuk-Wasser and Sung-Joo Lee for their consultation on the model framework and realistic parameterisation and Cameron Smith for sharing his expertise on hybrid modelling.

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
    SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being

Keywords

  • Tick
  • Integrated management
  • Fragmented environments
  • Metapopulation
  • Hybrid
  • Stochastic
  • Mathematical model
  • Simulation
  • DIN
  • Basic reproduction number

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Statistics and Probability
  • General Medicine
  • Modelling and Simulation
  • General Immunology and Microbiology
  • General Biochemistry,Genetics and Molecular Biology
  • General Agricultural and Biological Sciences
  • Applied Mathematics

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