Abstract
This paper describes work undertaken in the MATISSE project to explore the potential for a sustainable hydrogen transition within Europe and the implications for infrastructure investment. Stakeholder engagement work conducted within MATISSE identified unsustainable aspects of current transport and desirable characteristics of sustainable hydrogen road transport. Key criteria were: emissions reduction, security of energy supply, affordability and economic competitiveness.Results from the ASTRA model show that a transition to hydrogen transport fuels would have an increase in GDP, employment and investment; and growth in a number of sectors (electronic, chemical, mechanical and automotive) associated with hydrogen fuel cell technology. A hydrogen diffusion model shows that in a few years after 2040 all cars in Germany could be hydrogen driven cars. Fast build-up of a network of at least 500 filling stations (in urban areas and at highways) is very important for the market acceptance of hydrogen vehicles and compared with subsidies for vehicles and fuel the necessary investments are very small. For fuel infrastructure: • Only a total amount of approx. 200 million Euros are necessary for infrastructure build-up in urban areas. • Additional support is needed for installation of hydrogen filing stations on highways (approx. 100 million Euros).
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 1237-1248 |
| Number of pages | 12 |
| Journal | Technological Forecasting and Social Change |
| Volume | 77 |
| Issue number | 8 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 1 Oct 2010 |
Funding
The research reported here was conducted as part of the MATISSE project, which is funded under the Sixth Framework Programme of the European Union (contract no. 004059 ). We are grateful to Niki Frantzeskaki, Derk Loorbach and Wil Thissen, as well as the referees, for their comments, which have helped to improve the paper. Jonathan Köhler (corresponding author), Fraunhofer-Institut für System- und Innovationsforschung ISI, Karlsruhe, Germany, is a Senior Scientist at Fraunhofer ISI. His research areas are environmental innovation in transport systems, transition theory and Kondratiev waves. Martin Wietschel , Fraunhofer-Institut für System- und Innovationsforschung ISI, Karlsruhe, Germany, is a visiting professor at the technical University, Karlsruhe. He is a Senior Scientist at Fraunhofer ISI. His research areas are electromobility, energy and transport systems. Lorraine Whitmarsh is a lecturer in environmental psychology at the University of Cardiff, UK. Her research interests are consumer behaviour in environmental decision making. Dogan Keles is at the technical University, Karlsruhe, Germany. His research interests are system dynamics modelling of technological change in transport. Wolfgang Schade , Fraunhofer-Institut für System- und Innovationsforschung ISI, Karlsruhe, Germany, is a Senior Scientist at Fraunhofer ISI. His research areas are system dynamics modelling of transport and climate policy and system dynamics modelling of macroeconomies.
Keywords
- Hydrogen automobiles
- Infrastructure
- Transitions
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Business and International Management
- Applied Psychology
- Management of Technology and Innovation
