Improved utility and application of probabilistic methods for reliable mechanical design.

Yee-Mey Goh, Christopher McMahon, J Booker

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

9 Citations (SciVal)


In a modern product development process such as in the automotive and aerospace sectors, extensive analytical and simulation approaches are used to assess the ability of a design in fulfilling its requirements. Consideration of uncertainty in such situations is critical in ensuring a reliable design is produced. Probabilistic methods facilitate an improved understanding of design performance through characterization of uncertainty in the design parameters. The probabilistic methods developed over the last several decades have a range of capabilities and modes of application, for example, to predict reliability, for optimization, and to perform sensitivity studies, but have yet to be taken up routinely by industry due to a number of reasons. In this paper, issues that have typically inhibited their use or prevented a successful outcome are addressed through a systematic framework for improved utility and successful application of probabilistic designing for mechanical reliability.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)199-214
Number of pages16
JournalProceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O: Journal of Risk and Reliability
Issue number3
Publication statusPublished - 2009


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