Abstract
This paper concerns the approximation of probability measures on Rd with respect to the Kullback-Leibler divergence. Given an admissible target measure, we show the existence of the best approximation, with respect to this divergence, from certain sets of Gaussian measures and Gaussian mixtures. The asymptotic behavior of such best approximations is then studied in the small parameter limit where the measure concentrates; this asympotic behavior is characterized us- ing convergence. The theory developed is then applied to understand the frequentist consistency of Bayesian inverse problems in finite dimensions. For a fixed realization of additive observational noise, we show the asymptotic normality of the posterior measure in the small noise limit. Tak- ing into account the randomness of the noise, we prove a Bernstein-Von Mises type result for the posterior measure.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 1136-1165 |
Number of pages | 30 |
Journal | SIAM-ASA Journal on Uncertainty Quantification |
Volume | 5 |
Issue number | 1 |
Early online date | 16 Nov 2017 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 2017 |
Funding
∗Received by the editors November 28, 2016; accepted for publication (in revised form) June 22, 2017; published electronically November 16, 2017. http://www.siam.org/journals/juq/5/M110538.html Funding: The first author was supported by EPSRC as part of MASDOC DTC at the University of Warwick with grant EP/HO23364/1. The second author was supported by DARPA, EPSRC, and ONR. The third author was supported by the Royal Society through University Research Fellowship UF140187. †Mathematics Institute, University of Warwick, Coventry, CV4 7AL, UK ([email protected], [email protected]). ‡Computing and Mathematical Sciences, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA 91125 (astuart@ caltech.edu).
Keywords
- Gamma-convergence-Bernstein-Von Mises theorem
- Gaussian approximation
- Kullback-Leibler divergence
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Statistics and Probability
- Modelling and Simulation
- Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty
- Discrete Mathematics and Combinatorics
- Applied Mathematics