Explaining the 2005 Coalition Formation Process in Germany: A Comparison of Power Index and Median Legislator Approaches

Charles Lees, Andrew Taylor

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

2 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

The article uses data from the 2005 German Bundestag elections to test the power index (PI) and median legislator (ML) models of coalition formation. The article finds that, while the PI approach is successful in predicting the real-world formation of a Grand Coalition after the election, neither model is sufficient to explain the outcome of the coalition formation process. Nevertheless, the article argues that such formal models are useful in identifying ‘crucial cases’ and in eliminating irrelevant data from explanations. The article concludes by suggesting some methodological routes through which formal models can be harnessed to culturally sensitive, inductive research.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)151-160
Number of pages10
JournalPolitics
Volume26
Issue number3
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Sep 2006

Fingerprint

coalition formation
election
Grand Coalition
Bundestag

Cite this

Explaining the 2005 Coalition Formation Process in Germany: A Comparison of Power Index and Median Legislator Approaches. / Lees, Charles; Taylor, Andrew.

In: Politics, Vol. 26, No. 3, 09.2006, p. 151-160.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

@article{16932377703d4e4b970602be902cb9b9,
title = "Explaining the 2005 Coalition Formation Process in Germany: A Comparison of Power Index and Median Legislator Approaches",
abstract = "The article uses data from the 2005 German Bundestag elections to test the power index (PI) and median legislator (ML) models of coalition formation. The article finds that, while the PI approach is successful in predicting the real-world formation of a Grand Coalition after the election, neither model is sufficient to explain the outcome of the coalition formation process. Nevertheless, the article argues that such formal models are useful in identifying ‘crucial cases’ and in eliminating irrelevant data from explanations. The article concludes by suggesting some methodological routes through which formal models can be harnessed to culturally sensitive, inductive research.",
author = "Charles Lees and Andrew Taylor",
year = "2006",
month = "9",
doi = "10.1111/j.1467-9256.2006.00263.x",
language = "English",
volume = "26",
pages = "151--160",
journal = "Politics",
issn = "0263-3957",
publisher = "Wiley-Blackwell",
number = "3",

}

TY - JOUR

T1 - Explaining the 2005 Coalition Formation Process in Germany: A Comparison of Power Index and Median Legislator Approaches

AU - Lees, Charles

AU - Taylor, Andrew

PY - 2006/9

Y1 - 2006/9

N2 - The article uses data from the 2005 German Bundestag elections to test the power index (PI) and median legislator (ML) models of coalition formation. The article finds that, while the PI approach is successful in predicting the real-world formation of a Grand Coalition after the election, neither model is sufficient to explain the outcome of the coalition formation process. Nevertheless, the article argues that such formal models are useful in identifying ‘crucial cases’ and in eliminating irrelevant data from explanations. The article concludes by suggesting some methodological routes through which formal models can be harnessed to culturally sensitive, inductive research.

AB - The article uses data from the 2005 German Bundestag elections to test the power index (PI) and median legislator (ML) models of coalition formation. The article finds that, while the PI approach is successful in predicting the real-world formation of a Grand Coalition after the election, neither model is sufficient to explain the outcome of the coalition formation process. Nevertheless, the article argues that such formal models are useful in identifying ‘crucial cases’ and in eliminating irrelevant data from explanations. The article concludes by suggesting some methodological routes through which formal models can be harnessed to culturally sensitive, inductive research.

UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9256.2006.00263.x

U2 - 10.1111/j.1467-9256.2006.00263.x

DO - 10.1111/j.1467-9256.2006.00263.x

M3 - Article

VL - 26

SP - 151

EP - 160

JO - Politics

JF - Politics

SN - 0263-3957

IS - 3

ER -