Estimating thresholds for risk of cannabis use disorder using standard delta-9-tetrahydrocannabinol (THC) units

Rachel Lees Thorne, William Lawn, Kat Petrilli, Katie Trinci, Anya Borissova, Shelan Ofori, Claire Mokrysz, Helen Valerie Curran, Lindsey Hines, Tom Freeman

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Background and aims
Lower risk guidelines for safer levels of cannabis use could help to reduce the health burden posed by cannabis use disorder (CUD). We aimed to estimate risk thresholds for CUD based on delta-9-tetrahydrocannabinol (THC) consumption using standard THC units (1 unit = 5 mg THC).

Design
Data from the CannTeen study, a longitudinal observational study consisting of five assessments over a 12-month period.

Setting
London, UK.

Participants
Participants were n = 65 adults aged 26–29 (46% female, 70.77% white ethnicity) and n = 85 adolescents aged 16–17 (56% female, 65.48% white ethnicity). All participants reported at least one use of cannabis during the 12-month study period.

Measurements
Mean weekly standard THC units were estimated using the Enhanced Cannabis Timeline Followback, a comprehensive and validated assessment of quantity, frequency and potency of cannabis consumed. This was administered at 3-month intervals and averaged over a 12-month period. Past 12-month diagnosis of CUD using The Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, Fifth Edition (DSM-5) was assessed at the final follow-up. Receiver operating characteristic curve models estimated the extent to which weekly standard THC unit consumption could discriminate no CUD from any CUD (mild, moderate or severe), and no CUD from moderate/severe CUD, in adults and adolescents separately. Risk thresholds were selected based on cut-offs that maximised sensitivity and specificity.

Findings
Discrimination accuracy of weekly standard THC units on CUD was good, with area under the curve > 0.70 for all models. Optimal cut-offs for risk of any CUD (versus no CUD) were 8.26 units per week for adults and 6.04 units per week for adolescents. For risk of moderate/severe CUD (versus no CUD) optimal cut-offs were 13.44 units per week for adults and 6.45 units per week for adolescents.

Conclusions
Weekly cannabis consumption based on standard delta-9-tetrahydrocannabinol (THC) units appears to show good discrimination accuracy of cannabis use disorder at different severities and in different age groups. Safer levels of cannabis use, defined by low weekly standard THC unit consumption, could be recommended in lower risk cannabis use guidelines.
Original languageEnglish
JournalAddiction
Early online date12 Jan 2026
DOIs
Publication statusE-pub ahead of print - 12 Jan 2026

Data Availability Statement

The participants of this study did not give written consent for their data to be shared publicly, so the research supporting data are not available.

Acknowledgements

We thank all the CannTeen participants for giving up their time to participate in this study. We also thank everyone who contributed to data collection as well as Sharinjeet Dhiman.

Funding

Medical Research Council. Grant Numbers: MR/N0137941/1, MR/P012728/1, MR/Y017560/1

FundersFunder number
Medical Research Council MR/N0137941/1, MR/P012728/1, MR/Y017560/1

Keywords

  • adolescence
  • cannabis use disorder
  • harm reduction
  • lower risk guidelines
  • risk thresholds
  • standard THC units

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Medicine (miscellaneous)
  • Psychiatry and Mental health

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