Abstract
An oft-cited benefit of candidate-based elections is that voters can hold individual candidates accountable for their issue stances. However, voters may not always be aware of candidates’ policy positions, a concern which becomes especially salient in regional elections. Using mass online survey data and a fixed effects approach, we investigate the extent to which voters were influenced by the policy positions of individual candidates when voting in the 2021 elections to the Welsh Senedd. We find that candidates’ policy positions did matter, but that this effect was small, limited to issues voters deemed to be particularly important, and only emerges among voters with high political interest. That said, our findings also suggest that the influence of candidates’ policy positions on voting behaviour was not substantially smaller when compared to national elections in the UK and elsewhere. We discuss options for improving voter responsiveness to candidates’ issue stances.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Number of pages | 23 |
| Journal | Regional and Federal Studies |
| Early online date | 11 Sept 2024 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | E-pub ahead of print - 11 Sept 2024 |
Data Availability Statement
All data and statistical code necessary for the replication of the results can be found at: https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/4TRJYZAcknowledgements
We would like to thank the following colleagues for their helpful contributions to this work: Roger Awan-Scully, Jonathan Bradbury, Anwen Elias, Jac Larner, Huw Lewis, Laura McAllister, Fernando Mendez, Roula Nezi, and Matthew Wall. We would also like to thank Wales Online for sharing the MyVoteChoice platform on their website and Llyr ab Einion for translating the content of the platform into Welsh.Keywords
- Candidate-based elections
- issue voting
- political representation
- regional elections
- Wales
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Geography, Planning and Development
- Political Science and International Relations