Disaster preparedness using risk-assessment methods from earthquake engineering

Maria Battarra, Burcu Balcik, Huifu Xu

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

28 Citations (SciVal)
147 Downloads (Pure)


Analyzing the uncertainties associated with disaster occurrences is critical to make effective disaster preparedness plans. In this study, we focus on pre-positioning emergency supplies for earthquake preparedness. We present a new method to compute earthquake likelihood and the number of the affected people. Our approach utilizes forecasting methods from the earthquake engineering literature, and avoids using probabilistic scenarios to represent the uncertainties related to earthquake occurrences. We validate the proposed technique by using historical earthquake data from Turkey, a country under significant earthquake risk. We also present a case study that illustrates the implementation of our method to solve the inventory allocation problem of the Turkish Red Crescent.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)423-435
Number of pages13
JournalEuropean Journal of Operational Research
Issue number2
Early online date16 Feb 2018
Publication statusPublished - 1 Sept 2018

Bibliographical note


Email from guest editor:
Ref.: Ms. No. EJOR-D-16-02869R3
Disaster preparedness using risk-assessment methods from earthquake engineering
European Journal of Operational Research

Dear Dr. Maria Battarra,

I am pleased to inform you that your paper has been accepted for publication in the European Journal of Operational Research.

The PDF file of the final version of your article will be available on ScienceDirect shortly after the corrections to the proofs have been received by Elsevier. I suggest that you read them carefully and check them once more against the original; you are the only one responsible for doing this. Together with the proofs you will receive an order form for reprints.

Your paper from now on is no longer under my control. Please, address queries only to the Journal Manager:
Caroline Muttram
E-Mail: C.Muttram@elsevier.com

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Yours sincerely,

Luk Noel Van Wassenhove, PhD
Special Issue Managing Guest Editor
European Journal of Operational Research


  • Disaster preparedness
  • Earthquake forecasting
  • Inventory allocation
  • OR in disaster relief

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Modelling and Simulation
  • Management Science and Operations Research
  • Information Systems and Management


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