Disaster preparedness using risk-assessment methods from earthquake engineering

Maria Battarra; Burcu Balcik; Huifu Xu

doi:10.1016/j.ejor.2018.02.014

Disaster preparedness using risk-assessment methods from earthquake engineering

Maria Battarra, Burcu Balcik, Huifu Xu

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

30 Citations (SciVal)

187 Downloads (Pure)

Abstract

Analyzing the uncertainties associated with disaster occurrences is critical to make effective disaster preparedness plans. In this study, we focus on pre-positioning emergency supplies for earthquake preparedness. We present a new method to compute earthquake likelihood and the number of the affected people. Our approach utilizes forecasting methods from the earthquake engineering literature, and avoids using probabilistic scenarios to represent the uncertainties related to earthquake occurrences. We validate the proposed technique by using historical earthquake data from Turkey, a country under significant earthquake risk. We also present a case study that illustrates the implementation of our method to solve the inventory allocation problem of the Turkish Red Crescent.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	423-435
Number of pages	13
Journal	European Journal of Operational Research
Volume	269
Issue number	2
Early online date	16 Feb 2018
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2018.02.014
Publication status	Published - 1 Sept 2018

Bibliographical note

https://authors.elsevier.com/tracking/article/details.do?aid=14974&jid=EOR&surname=Battarra

Email from guest editor:
Ref.: Ms. No. EJOR-D-16-02869R3
Disaster preparedness using risk-assessment methods from earthquake engineering
European Journal of Operational Research

Dear Dr. Maria Battarra,

I am pleased to inform you that your paper has been accepted for publication in the European Journal of Operational Research.

The PDF file of the final version of your article will be available on ScienceDirect shortly after the corrections to the proofs have been received by Elsevier. I suggest that you read them carefully and check them once more against the original; you are the only one responsible for doing this. Together with the proofs you will receive an order form for reprints.

Your paper from now on is no longer under my control. Please, address queries only to the Journal Manager:
Caroline Muttram
E-Mail: [email protected]

When your paper is published on ScienceDirect, you want to make sure it gets the attention it deserves. To help you get your message across, Elsevier has developed a new, free service called AudioSlides: brief, webcast-style presentations that are shown (publicly available) next to your published article. This format gives you the opportunity to explain your research in your own words and attract interest. You will receive an invitation email to create an AudioSlides presentation shortly. For more information and examples, please visit http://www.elsevier.com/audioslides.

Please note that Articles in Press are not usually included in the Scopus database, although all papers will be included once they have been published in an issue.

Yours sincerely,

Luk Noel Van Wassenhove, PhD
Special Issue Managing Guest Editor
European Journal of Operational Research

Keywords

Disaster preparedness
Earthquake forecasting
Inventory allocation
OR in disaster relief

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Modelling and Simulation
Management Science and Operations Research
Information Systems and Management

Access to Document

10.1016/j.ejor.2018.02.014

manuscript_revised_finalAccepted author manuscript, 2.43 MBLicence: CC BY-NC-ND

Cite this

@article{92c4cc8e75ab46709bf37622c23aaf25,

title = "Disaster preparedness using risk-assessment methods from earthquake engineering",

abstract = "Analyzing the uncertainties associated with disaster occurrences is critical to make effective disaster preparedness plans. In this study, we focus on pre-positioning emergency supplies for earthquake preparedness. We present a new method to compute earthquake likelihood and the number of the affected people. Our approach utilizes forecasting methods from the earthquake engineering literature, and avoids using probabilistic scenarios to represent the uncertainties related to earthquake occurrences. We validate the proposed technique by using historical earthquake data from Turkey, a country under significant earthquake risk. We also present a case study that illustrates the implementation of our method to solve the inventory allocation problem of the Turkish Red Crescent.",

keywords = "Disaster preparedness, Earthquake forecasting, Inventory allocation, OR in disaster relief",

author = "Maria Battarra and Burcu Balcik and Huifu Xu",

note = "https://authors.elsevier.com/tracking/article/details.do?aid=14974&jid=EOR&surname=Battarra Email from guest editor: Ref.: Ms. No. EJOR-D-16-02869R3 Disaster preparedness using risk-assessment methods from earthquake engineering European Journal of Operational Research Dear Dr. Maria Battarra, I am pleased to inform you that your paper has been accepted for publication in the European Journal of Operational Research. The PDF file of the final version of your article will be available on ScienceDirect shortly after the corrections to the proofs have been received by Elsevier. I suggest that you read them carefully and check them once more against the original; you are the only one responsible for doing this. Together with the proofs you will receive an order form for reprints. Your paper from now on is no longer under my control. Please, address queries only to the Journal Manager: Caroline Muttram E-Mail: [email protected] When your paper is published on ScienceDirect, you want to make sure it gets the attention it deserves. To help you get your message across, Elsevier has developed a new, free service called AudioSlides: brief, webcast-style presentations that are shown (publicly available) next to your published article. This format gives you the opportunity to explain your research in your own words and attract interest. You will receive an invitation email to create an AudioSlides presentation shortly. For more information and examples, please visit http://www.elsevier.com/audioslides. Please note that Articles in Press are not usually included in the Scopus database, although all papers will be included once they have been published in an issue. Yours sincerely, Luk Noel Van Wassenhove, PhD Special Issue Managing Guest Editor European Journal of Operational Research ",

year = "2018",

month = sep,

day = "1",

doi = "10.1016/j.ejor.2018.02.014",

language = "English",

volume = "269",

pages = "423--435",

journal = "European Journal of Operational Research",

issn = "0377-2217",

publisher = "Elsevier",

number = "2",

}

TY - JOUR

T1 - Disaster preparedness using risk-assessment methods from earthquake engineering

AU - Battarra, Maria

AU - Balcik, Burcu

AU - Xu, Huifu

N1 - https://authors.elsevier.com/tracking/article/details.do?aid=14974&jid=EOR&surname=Battarra Email from guest editor: Ref.: Ms. No. EJOR-D-16-02869R3 Disaster preparedness using risk-assessment methods from earthquake engineering European Journal of Operational Research Dear Dr. Maria Battarra, I am pleased to inform you that your paper has been accepted for publication in the European Journal of Operational Research. The PDF file of the final version of your article will be available on ScienceDirect shortly after the corrections to the proofs have been received by Elsevier. I suggest that you read them carefully and check them once more against the original; you are the only one responsible for doing this. Together with the proofs you will receive an order form for reprints. Your paper from now on is no longer under my control. Please, address queries only to the Journal Manager: Caroline Muttram E-Mail: [email protected] When your paper is published on ScienceDirect, you want to make sure it gets the attention it deserves. To help you get your message across, Elsevier has developed a new, free service called AudioSlides: brief, webcast-style presentations that are shown (publicly available) next to your published article. This format gives you the opportunity to explain your research in your own words and attract interest. You will receive an invitation email to create an AudioSlides presentation shortly. For more information and examples, please visit http://www.elsevier.com/audioslides. Please note that Articles in Press are not usually included in the Scopus database, although all papers will be included once they have been published in an issue. Yours sincerely, Luk Noel Van Wassenhove, PhD Special Issue Managing Guest Editor European Journal of Operational Research

PY - 2018/9/1

Y1 - 2018/9/1

N2 - Analyzing the uncertainties associated with disaster occurrences is critical to make effective disaster preparedness plans. In this study, we focus on pre-positioning emergency supplies for earthquake preparedness. We present a new method to compute earthquake likelihood and the number of the affected people. Our approach utilizes forecasting methods from the earthquake engineering literature, and avoids using probabilistic scenarios to represent the uncertainties related to earthquake occurrences. We validate the proposed technique by using historical earthquake data from Turkey, a country under significant earthquake risk. We also present a case study that illustrates the implementation of our method to solve the inventory allocation problem of the Turkish Red Crescent.

AB - Analyzing the uncertainties associated with disaster occurrences is critical to make effective disaster preparedness plans. In this study, we focus on pre-positioning emergency supplies for earthquake preparedness. We present a new method to compute earthquake likelihood and the number of the affected people. Our approach utilizes forecasting methods from the earthquake engineering literature, and avoids using probabilistic scenarios to represent the uncertainties related to earthquake occurrences. We validate the proposed technique by using historical earthquake data from Turkey, a country under significant earthquake risk. We also present a case study that illustrates the implementation of our method to solve the inventory allocation problem of the Turkish Red Crescent.

KW - Disaster preparedness

KW - Earthquake forecasting

KW - Inventory allocation

KW - OR in disaster relief

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85043491838&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1016/j.ejor.2018.02.014

DO - 10.1016/j.ejor.2018.02.014

M3 - Article

SN - 0377-2217

VL - 269

SP - 423

EP - 435

JO - European Journal of Operational Research

JF - European Journal of Operational Research

IS - 2

ER -

Disaster preparedness using risk-assessment methods from earthquake engineering

Abstract

Bibliographical note

Keywords

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Access to Document

Other files and links

Fingerprint

Maria Battarra

Cite this

Disaster preparedness using risk-assessment methods from earthquake engineering

Abstract

Bibliographical note

Keywords

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Access to Document

Other files and links

Fingerprint

Profiles

Maria Battarra

Cite this