Disaster preparedness using risk-assessment methods from earthquake engineering

Maria Battarra, Burcu Balcik, Huifu Xu

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

13 Citations (Scopus)
35 Downloads (Pure)

Abstract

Analyzing the uncertainties associated with disaster occurrences is critical to make effective disaster preparedness plans. In this study, we focus on pre-positioning emergency supplies for earthquake preparedness. We present a new method to compute earthquake likelihood and the number of the affected people. Our approach utilizes forecasting methods from the earthquake engineering literature, and avoids using probabilistic scenarios to represent the uncertainties related to earthquake occurrences. We validate the proposed technique by using historical earthquake data from Turkey, a country under significant earthquake risk. We also present a case study that illustrates the implementation of our method to solve the inventory allocation problem of the Turkish Red Crescent.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)423-435
Number of pages13
JournalEuropean Journal of Operational Research
Volume269
Issue number2
Early online date16 Feb 2018
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Sep 2018

Keywords

  • Disaster preparedness
  • Earthquake forecasting
  • Inventory allocation
  • OR in disaster relief

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Modelling and Simulation
  • Management Science and Operations Research
  • Information Systems and Management

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    Maria Battarra

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