Disaster preparedness using risk-assessment methods from earthquake engineering

Maria Battarra, Burcu Balcik, Huifu Xu

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

3 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Analyzing the uncertainties associated with disaster occurrences is critical to make effective disaster preparedness plans. In this study, we focus on pre-positioning emergency supplies for earthquake preparedness. We present a new method to compute earthquake likelihood and the number of the affected people. Our approach utilizes forecasting methods from the earthquake engineering literature, and avoids using probabilistic scenarios to represent the uncertainties related to earthquake occurrences. We validate the proposed technique by using historical earthquake data from Turkey, a country under significant earthquake risk. We also present a case study that illustrates the implementation of our method to solve the inventory allocation problem of the Turkish Red Crescent.

LanguageEnglish
Pages423-435
Number of pages13
JournalEuropean Journal of Operational Research
Volume269
Issue number2
Early online date16 Feb 2018
DOIs
StatusPublished - 1 Sep 2018

Fingerprint

Risk Assessment
Disaster
Earthquake
Risk assessment
Disasters
Earthquakes
Engineering
Crescent
Positioning
Earthquake engineering
Preparedness
Forecasting
Likelihood
Uncertainty
Scenarios

Keywords

  • Disaster preparedness
  • Earthquake forecasting
  • Inventory allocation
  • OR in disaster relief

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Modelling and Simulation
  • Management Science and Operations Research
  • Information Systems and Management

Cite this

Disaster preparedness using risk-assessment methods from earthquake engineering. / Battarra, Maria; Balcik, Burcu; Xu, Huifu.

In: European Journal of Operational Research, Vol. 269, No. 2, 01.09.2018, p. 423-435.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

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