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Development of Automatic Labels for Cold Front Detection in South America: A 2009 Case Study for Deep Learning Applications

Dejanira Ferreira Braz, Luana Albertani Pampuch, Michelle Simões Reboita, Tercio Ambrizzi, Tristan Pryer

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Deep learning models for atmospheric pattern recognition require spatially consistent training labels that align precisely with input meteorological fields. This study introduces an automatic cold front detection method using the ERA5 reanalysis dataset from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) at 850 hPa, specifically designed to generate physically consistent labels for machine learning applications. The approach combines the Thermal Front Parameter (TFP) with temperature advection (AdvT), applying optimized thresholds (TFP < 5 × 10−11 K m−2; AdvT < −1 × 10−4 K s−1), morphological filtering, and polynomial smoothing. Comparison against 1426 manual charts from 2009 revealed systematic spatial displacement, with mean offsets of ~502 km. Although pixel-level overlap was low, with Intersection over Union (IoU) = 0.013 and Dice coefficient (Dice) = 0.034, spatial concordance exceeded 99%, confirming both methods identify the same synoptic systems. The automatic method detects 58% more fronts over the South Atlantic and 44% fewer over the Andes compared to manual charts. Seasonal variability shows maximum activity in austral winter (31.3%) and minimum in summer (20.1%). This is the first automatic front detection system calibrated for South America that maintains direct correspondence between training labels and reanalysis input fields, addressing the spatial misalignment problem that limits deep learning applications in atmospheric sciences.

Original languageEnglish
Article number211
JournalClimate
Volume13
Issue number10
Early online date8 Oct 2025
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 31 Oct 2025

Data Availability Statement

All datasets used in this study are available on public online databases.

Acknowledgements

The authors thank the National Council for Scientific and Technological Development (CNPq), the Center for Weather Forecasting and Climate Studies (CPTEC), and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) for providing the ERA5 reanalysis dataset used in this study.

Funding

The authors thank the National Council for Scientific and Technological Development (CNPq) for financial support through CNPq/MCTI Call No. 10/2023—UNIVERSAL (Grant No. 407702/2023-7). TA acknowledge the support from FAPESP (2024/00949-5) and CNPq (304802/2024-7).

Keywords

  • cold fronts
  • ERA5
  • machine learning labels
  • South America
  • thermal front parameter

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Atmospheric Science

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