This paper concerns the implications of biased beliefs on entrepreneurial earnings. Amongst self-employed business owners, income is decreasing in optimism measured whilst still an employee. Controlling for earnings in paid employment, self-employment earnings of those with optimism above the mean are some 30% less than those with optimism below the mean. For employees, it is optimists that have higher earnings. These and associated results suggest that mistaken expectations lead to entry errors. As a test of external validity, future divorcees turn out to be financial optimists, indicating our measure captures an intrinsic psychological trait associated with rash decisions.
- Financial optimism, expectations, entrepreneurs
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- Management - Senior Lecturer (Associate Professor)
- Marketing, Business & Society
- Centre for Business, Organisations and Society (CBOS)
Person: Research & Teaching