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Abstract
We are often preoccupied with the future, experiencing dread at the thought of future misery and savoring the thought of future pleasure. Prior lab studies have found that these anticipatory emotions influence decision-making. In this article, using economic survey data to estimate individual differences in anticipatory emotions, we find that the tendency to feel displeasure from anticipating future losses outweighs the pleasure from anticipating equal gains. We then relate asymmetries in anticipatory emotions to key economic preferences, finding that people with more strongly asymmetric anticipatory emotions are more risk-avoidant (because they obtain more disutility from contemplating downside risk) and more impatient (because they want to minimize the time spent contemplating risks). We conclude by considering how asymmetries in anticipatory emotions may be linked to a range of intertemporal and risky choice phenomena. Overall, our framework explains why risk-avoidance and impatience are linked and we provide suggestive evidence for this explanation.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Article number | e70160 |
| Journal | Cognitive Science |
| Volume | 50 |
| Issue number | 1 |
| Early online date | 20 Jan 2026 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 31 Jan 2026 |
Data Availability Statement
The data used in this study are publicly available from the UK Data Archive. To access the dataset, visit:https://beta.ukdataservice.ac.uk/datacatalogue/series/series?id=2000053#!/access-data. Under the “Access data” section, expand the drop-down menu and select the following dataset:
6614 – Understanding Society: Waves 1–14, 2009–2023 and Harmonised BHPS: Waves 1–18, 1991–2009.
All analysis scripts and the accompanying codebook used in this study—including the simulations script—are available on the Open Science Framework at the following link:
https://osf.io/n4c6q.
Acknowledgements
The authors would like to thank Paul L. Baker, Gordon Brown, David de Meza, Lukasz Walasek, and Joël van der Weele, and audiences at the Universities of Bath and Warwick for helpful discussion.Keywords
- Anticipatory emotions
- Behavioral economics
- Intertemporal choice
- Risky choice
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Experimental and Cognitive Psychology
- Cognitive Neuroscience
- Artificial Intelligence
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Dive into the research topics of 'Asymmetric Anticipatory Emotions and Economic Preferences: Dread, Savoring, Risk, and Time'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.Projects
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The Uncertain Future and the Affective Imagination
Dawson, C. (PI)
15/01/25 → 14/01/28
Project: Research council
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