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A joint estimation approach for monotonic regression functions in general dimensions

Christian Rohrbeck, Deborah Costain

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Regression analysis under the assumption of monotonicity is a well-studied statistical problem and has been used in a wide range of applications. However, there remains a lack of a broadly applicable methodology that permits information borrowing, for efficiency gains, when jointly estimating multiple monotonic regression functions. We fill this gap in the literature and introduce a methodology which can be applied to both fixed and random designs and any number of explanatory variables (regressors). Our framework penalizes pairwise differences in the values of the monotonic function estimates, with the weight of penalty being determined, for instance, based on a statistical test for equivalence of functions at a point. Function estimates are subsequently derived using an iterative optimization routine which updates the individual function estimates in turn until convergence. Simulation studies for normally and binomially distributed response data illustrate that function estimates are improved when similarities between functions exist, and are not oversmoothed otherwise. We further apply our methodology to analyze two public health data sets: neonatal mortality data for Porto Alegre, Brazil, and stroke patient data for North West England.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)903-923
Number of pages21
JournalScandinavian Journal of Statistics
Volume52
Issue number2
Early online date2 Mar 2025
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Jun 2025

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2025 The Author(s). Scandinavian Journal of Statistics published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of The Board of the Foundation of the Scandinavian Journal of Statistics.

Acknowledgements

The authors would like to thank the editor and two referees for their helpful and insightful comments which substantially improved the content and presentation of this work.

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
    SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being

Keywords

  • convex optimization
  • likelihood ratio test
  • monotonic regression
  • public health
  • shape constraints

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Statistics and Probability
  • Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty

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