A conceptual framework for transition modelling

Alex Haxeltine, Lorraine Whitmarsh, Noam Bergman, Jan Rotmans, Michel Schilperoord, Jonathan Kohler

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

57 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

This paper presents a Conceptual Framework (CF) for analysing and simulating transition dynamics (or radical systemic innovation) that is broadly consistent with both empirical evidence and current theorising about transitions. The framework distinguishes between a dominant socio-technical regime and a number of socio-technical niches. The central feature of the framework is to describe how niches and regime interact to produce a transition dynamic involving either a transformation or a total overthrow of the dominant regime. We base the analysis on reviews of patterns observed in historical transitions, and provide a framework for analysing the processes involved in producing future 'sustainability transitions'.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)93-114
Number of pages22
JournalInternational Journal of Innovation and Sustainable Development
Volume3
Issue number1-2
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - May 2008

Keywords

  • Agent-based model
  • CF
  • Conceptual Framework
  • Sustainability assessment.
  • Ttransitions

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment
  • Management of Technology and Innovation

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