Paul Goodwin

Prof

20012018
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Forecast Mathematics
Planning Engineering & Materials Science
Scenarios Mathematics
Sales Engineering & Materials Science
Adjustment Mathematics
Decision theory Engineering & Materials Science
Decision Analysis Mathematics
Forecasting Mathematics

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Research Output 2001 2018

Scenario analysis to support decision making in addressing wicked problems: pitfalls and potential

Wright, G., Cairns, G., O'Brien, F. & Goodwin, P. 29 Aug 2018 In : European Journal of Operational Research.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Scenario Analysis
Decision making
Decision Making
Planning
Intuitive

Use and misuse of information in supply chain forecasting of promotion effects

Fildes, R., Goodwin, P. & Önkal, D. 19 Feb 2018 In : International Journal of Forecasting.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Supply chain
Discounting
Forecasting support system
Operations planning
Experiment

What if you are not Bayesian? The consequences for decisions involving risk

Goodwin, P., Onkal, D. & Stekler, H. O. 1 Apr 2018 In : European Journal of Operational Research. 266, 1, p. 238-246 EOR_14705

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Bayes' Formula
Prior Probability
Discrepancy
Likely
Economics

When providing best-case and worst-case scenarios can be detrimental to judgmental demand forecasts and production decisions

Goodwin, P., Gönül, M. S. & Önkal , D. 24 Sep 2018 (Accepted/In press) In : European Journal of Operational Research.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Forecast
Time series
Scenarios
Availability
Congruent

A note on upper bounds for forecast-value-added relative to naive forecasts

Goodwin, P., Petropoulos, F. & Hyndman, R. J. Sep 2017 In : Journal of the Operational Research Society. 68, 9, p. 1082-1084

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File
Value engineering
Costs
Upper bound
Value added
Forecasting method