Research Output per year
Fingerprint Dive into the research topics where Paul Goodwin is active. These topic labels come from the works of this person. Together they form a unique fingerprint.
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Forecast
Mathematics
Planning
Engineering & Materials Science
Scenarios
Mathematics
Sales
Engineering & Materials Science
Adjustment
Mathematics
Decision theory
Engineering & Materials Science
Decision Analysis
Mathematics
Forecasting
Mathematics
Network
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Research Output 2001 2017
5
Citations
(Scopus)
Evaluating expert advice in forecasting: users’ reactions to presumed vs experienced credibility
Önkal, D., Gönül, M. S., Goodwin, P., Thomson, M. & Öz, E., Jan 2017, In : International Journal of Forecasting. 33, 1, p. 280-297Research output: Contribution to journal › Article
Credibility
Weighting
Advisors
Experiment
Knowledge elicitation
7
Citations
(Scopus)
100
Downloads
(Pure)
Using a rolling training approach to improve judgmental extrapolations elicited from forecasters with technical knowledge
Petropoulos, F., Goodwin, P. & Fildes, R., Jan 2017, In : International Journal of Forecasting. 33, 1, p. 314-324 11 p.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article
Open Access
File
Extrapolation
Forecast error
Performance feedback
Inefficiency
Experiment
11
Citations
(Scopus)
97
Downloads
(Pure)
A decision-analysis-based framework for analyzing stakeholder behaviour in scenario planning
Cairns, G., Goodwin, P. & Wright, G., 16 Mar 2016, In : European Journal of Operational Research. 249, 3, p. 1050-1062Research output: Contribution to journal › Article
Open Access
File
Decision Analysis
Decision theory
Planning
Unfolding
Scenarios
1
Citation
(Scopus)
122
Downloads
(Pure)
A parsimonious explanation of observed biases when forecasting one's own performance
Meeran, S., Goodwin, P. & Yalabik, B., 1 Jan 2016, In : International Journal of Forecasting. 32, 1, p. 112-120 9 p.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article
Open Access
File
Forecast performance
Discount
Prediction
Anchoring
Heuristics
19
Citations
(Scopus)
65
Downloads
(Pure)
Do 'big losses' in judgmental adjustments to statistical forecasts affect experts' behaviour
Petropoulos, F., Fildes, R. & Goodwin, P., 16 Mar 2016, In : European Journal of Operational Research. 249, 3, p. 842-852 11 p.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article
Open Access
Forecast
Adjustment
Forecasting
Pharmaceuticals
Sports
Thesis
New product sales forecasting: the relative accuracy of statistical, judgemental and combination forecasts
Author: Dyussekeneva, K., 1 Oct 2011Supervisor: Goodwin, P. (Supervisor)
Student thesis: Doctoral Thesis › PhD
File
The Development of an Approach and Decision Support Tool to Inform Sustainable Roof Selection
Author: Hampshire, P., 29 Jun 2015Supervisor: Goodwin, P. (Supervisor) & Tryfonas, T. (External person) (Supervisor)
Student thesis: Doctoral Thesis › Doctor of Engineering (EngD)
File
The Impact of Consumer and Product Characteristics on Change in Attribute- Weights over Time and its Implications for New Product Sales Forecasting Using Choice-based Conjoint Analysis
Author: Jahanbin, S., 7 Oct 2015Supervisor: Meeran, S. (Supervisor) & Goodwin, P. (Supervisor)
Student thesis: Doctoral Thesis › PhD
File