Paul Goodwin

Prof

20012018
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Forecast Mathematics
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Research Output 2001 2018

Use and misuse of information in supply chain forecasting of promotion effects

Fildes, R., Goodwin, P. & Önkal, D. 19 Feb 2018 In : International Journal of Forecasting.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Supply chain
Discounting
Forecasting support system
Operations planning
Experiment

What if you are not Bayesian? The consequences for decisions involving risk

Goodwin, P., Onkal, D. & Stekler, H. O. 1 Apr 2018 In : European Journal of Operational Research. 266, 1, p. 238-246 EOR_14705

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Bayes' Formula
Prior Probability
Discrepancy
Likely
Economics

A note on upper bounds for forecast-value-added relative to naive forecasts

Goodwin, P., Petropoulos, F. & Hyndman, R. J. Sep 2017 In : Journal of the Operational Research Society. 68, 9, p. 1082-1084

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File
Value engineering
Costs
Upper bound
Value added
Forecasting method
2 Citations

Evaluating expert advice in forecasting: users’ reactions to presumed vs experienced credibility

Önkal, D., Gönül, M. S., Goodwin, P., Thomson, M. & Öz, E. Jan 2017 In : International Journal of Forecasting. 33, 1, p. 280-297

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Credibility
Weighting
Advisors
Experiment
Knowledge elicitation
1 Citations

The influence of product involvement and emotion on short term product demand forecasting

Belvedere, V. & Goodwin, P. 22 Apr 2017 In : International Journal of Forecasting. 33, 3, p. 652-661

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Product involvement
Emotion
Demand forecasting
Product category
Leather