Paul Goodwin

Prof

20012019
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Forecast Mathematics
Planning Engineering & Materials Science
Scenarios Mathematics
Sales Engineering & Materials Science
Adjustment Mathematics
Decision theory Engineering & Materials Science
Decision Analysis Mathematics
Forecasting Mathematics

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Research Output 2001 2019

Contrast effects in judgmental forecasting when assessing the implications of worst- and best-case scenarios

Goodwin, P., Gönül, M. S., Önkal, D., Kocabıyıkoğlu, A. & Göğüş, I., 26 Mar 2019, (Accepted/In press) In : Journal of Behavioral Decision Making.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Forecast decisions

Goodwin, P., Moritz, B. & Siemsen, E., 18 Jan 2019, The Handbook of Behavioral Operations. Donohue, K., Katok, E. & Leider, S. (eds.). Hoboken, U. S. A.: Wiley, p. 433-458 26 p. (Wiley Series in Operations Research and Management Science).

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapter

Scenario analysis to support decision making in addressing wicked problems: pitfalls and potential

Wright, G., Cairns, G., O'Brien, F. & Goodwin, P., 29 Aug 2018, In : European Journal of Operational Research.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Scenario Analysis
Decision making
Decision Making
Planning
Intuitive
2 Citations (Scopus)

Use and misuse of information in supply chain forecasting of promotion effects

Fildes, R., Goodwin, P. & Önkal, D., 19 Feb 2018, In : International Journal of Forecasting.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Supply chain
Discounting
Forecasting support system
Operations planning
Experiment

What if you are not Bayesian? The consequences for decisions involving risk

Goodwin, P., Onkal, D. & Stekler, H. O., 1 Apr 2018, In : European Journal of Operational Research. 266, 1, p. 238-246 EOR_14705.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Bayes' Formula
Prior Probability
Discrepancy
Likely
Economics