Fotios Petropoulos

Dr, DEng, BEng

  • EAST BUILDING 3.1A

20112018

Research Output 2011 2018

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Article
2018

Exploring the sources of uncertainty: why does bagging for time series forecasting work?

Petropoulos, F., Hyndman, R. J. & Bergmeir, C. 2 Feb 2018 In : European Journal of Operational Research.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Time series
Decomposition
Agglomeration

The inventory performance of forecasting methods: evidence from the M3-competition data

Petropoulos, F., Wang, X. & Disney, S. M. 16 Jan 2018 In : International Journal of Forecasting.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

2017

A note on upper bounds for forecast-value-added relative to naive forecasts

Goodwin, P., Petropoulos, F. & Hyndman, R. J. Sep 2017 In : Journal of the Operational Research Society. 68, 9, p. 1082-1084

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Value engineering
Costs

Forecasting for big data: does suboptimality matter?

Nikolopoulos, K. & Petropoulos, F. 11 May 2017 In : Computers and Operations Research.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Big data
Fruits
Extrapolation
Costs

Forecasting methods tutorial: The Theta Method

Petropoulos, F. & Nikolopoulos, K. 2017 In : Foresight: the International Journal of Applied Forecasting. 45, p. 11-17

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

5 Citations

Forecasting with Temporal Hierarchies

Athanasopoulos, G., Hyndman, R. J., Kourentzes, N. & Petropoulos, F. 1 Oct 2017 In : European Journal of Operational Research. 262, 1, p. 60-74

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Time series
Agglomeration
Strategic planning
Accidents
Planning

Old dog, new tricks: a modelling view of simple moving averages

Svetunkov, I. & Petropoulos, F. 29 Sep 2017 In : International Journal of Production Research. 14 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Statistical model
Dog
Modeling
Freight transportation
Macros
Decision making
Shipping
Time series
1 Citations
Extrapolation
Expert knowledge
Experiment
2016
2 Citations

Another look at estimators for intermittent demand

Petropoulos, F., Kourentzes, N. & Nikolopoulos, K. Nov 2016 In : International Journal of Production Economics. 181, Part A, p. 154-161

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Sports
Drug products
Sales
9 Citations

Forecasting with multivariate temporal aggregation: the case of promotional modelling

Kourentzes, N. & Petropoulos, F. Nov 2016 In : International Journal of Production Economics. 181, Part A, p. 145-153

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Agglomeration
1 Citations

Models for optimising the theta method and their relationship to state space models

Fioruci, J. A., Pellegrini, T. R., Louzada, F., Petropoulos, F. & Koehler, A. B. Oct 2016 In : International Journal of Forecasting. 32, 4, p. 1151-1161 11 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

State-space model
1 Citations

To select or to combine? The inventory performance of model and expert forecasts

Wang, X. & Petropoulos, F. 2016 In : International Journal of Production Research. 54, 17, p. 5271-5282 12 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

2015
4 Citations

Amplifying the learning effect via a Forecasting and Foresight Support System

Spithourakis, G., Petropoulos, F., Nikolopoulos, K. & Assimakopoulos, V. 2015 In : International Journal of Forecasting. 31, 1, p. 20-32 13 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Foresight
12 Citations

Forecasts combinations for intermittent demand

Petropoulos, F. & Kourentzes, N. 2015 In : Journal of the Operational Research Society. 66, 6, p. 914-924 11 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Forecast combination

Improving forecast quality in practice

Fildes, R. & Petropoulos, F. 2015 In : Foresight: the International Journal of Applied Forecasting. 36, p. 5-12

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

1 Citations

Is there a Golden Rule?

Fildes, R. & Petropoulos, F. 2015 In : Journal of Business Research. 68, 8, p. 1742-1745 4 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Golden rule
2 Citations

Relative performance of methods for forecasting Unique Events

Nikolopoulos, K., Litsa, A., Petropoulos, F., Bougioukos, V. & Khammash, M. 2015 In : Journal of Business Research. 68, 8, p. 1785-1791 7 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

8 Citations

Simple versus complex selection rules for forecasting many time series

Fildes, R. & Petropoulos, F. 2015 In : Journal of Business Research. 68, 8, p. 1692-1701 10 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

2014
6 Citations

A Systemic View of ADIDA framework

Spithourakis, G., Petropoulos, F., Nikolopoulos, K. & Assimakopoulos, V. 2014 In : IMA Journal of Management Mathematics. 25, 2, p. 125-137 13 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

20 Citations

Horses for Courses’ in demand forecasting

Petropoulos, F., Makridakis, S., Assimakopoulos, V. & Nikolopoulos, K. 2014 In : European Journal of Operational Research. 237, 1, p. 152-163 12 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

28 Citations

Improving forecasting by estimating time series structural components across multiple frequencies

Kourentzes, N., Petropoulos, F. & Trapero Arenas, J. R. 2014 In : International Journal of Forecasting. 30, 2, p. 291-302 12 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Improving forecasting via multiple temporal aggregation

Petropoulos, F. & Kourentzes, N. 2014 In : Foresight: the International Journal of Applied Forecasting. 34, p. 12-17

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Agglomeration
2013
11 Citations

Empirical heuristics for improving Intermittent Demand Forecasting

Petropoulos, F., Nikolopoulos, K., Spithourakis, G. & Assimakopoulos, V. 2013 In : Industrial Management and Data Systems. 113, 5, p. 683-696 14 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Heuristics
Cost reduction
Automotive industry
Costs
Experiments
2011
29 Citations

An Aggregate - Disaggregate Intermittent Demand Approach (ADIDA) to forecasting: an empirical proposition and analysis

Nikolopoulos, K., Syntetos, A., Boylan, J. E., Petropoulos, F. & Assimakopoulos, V. 2011 In : Journal of the Operational Research Society. 62, 3, p. 544-554 11 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Improving the performance of popular supply chain forecasting techniques

Spithourakis, G., Petropoulos, F., Babai, M. Z., Nikolopoulos, K. & Assimakopoulos, V. 2011 In : Supply Chain Forum. 12, 4, p. 16-25 10 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Supply chains