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Research Output 2011 2020

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2019
5 Citations (Scopus)
25 Downloads (Pure)

Another look at forecast selection and combination: evidence from forecast pooling

Kourentzes, N., Barrow, D. & Petropoulos, F., 1 Mar 2019, In : International Journal of Production Economics. 209, p. 226-235 10 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File
Pooling
Uncertainty
Forecast combination
Decision modeling
Forecast error
4 Citations (Scopus)

A Simple Combination of Univariate Models

Petropoulos, F. & Svetunkov, I., 17 Apr 2019, In : International Journal of Forecasting. 36, 1, p. 110-115 6 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Brain imaging and forecasting: Insights from judgmental model selection

Han, W., Wang, X., Petropoulos, F. & Wang, J., 30 Sep 2019, In : Omega: The International Journal of Management Science. 87, p. 1-9 9 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

2 Citations (Scopus)

Forecasting in social settings: the state of the art

Makridakis, S., Hyndman, R. J. & Petropoulos, F., 26 Sep 2019, In : International Journal of Forecasting. 36, 1, p. 15-28 14 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
4 Downloads (Pure)

Improving the forecasting performance of temporal hierarchies

Spiliotis, E., Petropoulos, F. & Assimakopoulos, V., 3 Oct 2019, In : PLoS ONE. 14, 10, 21 p., e0223422.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File
2 Downloads (Pure)

Judgmental model selection

Petropoulos, F., 2019, In : Foresight: the International Journal of Applied Forecasting. 2019, 54, p. 4-10 7 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File
2 Citations (Scopus)

Probabilistic forecast reconciliation with applications to wind power and electric load

Jeon, J., Panagiotelis, A. & Petropoulos, F., 22 May 2019, In : European Journal of Operational Research. 279, 2, p. 364-379 16 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

6 Citations (Scopus)

The inventory performance of forecasting methods: evidence from the M3-competition data

Petropoulos, F., Wang, X. & Disney, S. M., 1 Jan 2019, In : International Journal of Forecasting. 35, 1, p. 251-265 15 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

2018
12 Citations (Scopus)

Exploring the sources of uncertainty: why does bagging for time series forecasting work?

Petropoulos, F., Hyndman, R. J. & Bergmeir, C., 16 Jul 2018, In : European Journal of Operational Research. 268, 2, p. 545-554 10 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Time Series Forecasting
Bagging
Time series
Exponential Smoothing
Uncertainty
8 Citations (Scopus)
79 Downloads (Pure)

Forecasting for big data: does suboptimality matter?

Nikolopoulos, K. & Petropoulos, F., 1 Oct 2018, In : Computers and Operations Research. 98, p. 322-329 8 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File
Forecasting
Pursuit
Fruit
Optimal Parameter
Extrapolation
8 Citations (Scopus)
53 Downloads (Pure)

Judgmental Selection of Forecasting Models

Petropoulos, F., Kourentzes, N., Nikolopoulos, K. & Siemsen, E., 31 May 2018, In : Journal of Operations Management. 60, 1, p. 34-46 13 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File
Time series
Agglomeration
Model selection
Experiments
Information criterion
1 Citation (Scopus)

Old dog, new tricks: a modelling view of simple moving averages

Svetunkov, I. & Petropoulos, F., 2018, In : International Journal of Production Research. 56, 18, p. 6034-6047 14 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Moving average
Dog
Modeling
Forecasting method
Statistical model
2 Citations (Scopus)
18 Downloads (Pure)
Open Access
File
shipping
Macros
Decision making
Freight transportation
energy
2017
101 Downloads (Pure)

A note on upper bounds for forecast-value-added relative to naive forecasts

Goodwin, P., Petropoulos, F. & Hyndman, R. J., Sep 2017, In : Journal of the Operational Research Society. 68, 9, p. 1082-1084

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File
Value engineering
Costs
Upper bound
Value added
Forecasting method

Forecasting methods tutorial: The Theta Method

Petropoulos, F. & Nikolopoulos, K., 2017, In : Foresight: the International Journal of Applied Forecasting. 45, p. 11-17

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

37 Citations (Scopus)
76 Downloads (Pure)

Forecasting with Temporal Hierarchies

Athanasopoulos, G., Hyndman, R. J., Kourentzes, N. & Petropoulos, F., 1 Oct 2017, In : European Journal of Operational Research. 262, 1, p. 60-74 15 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File
Forecast
Forecasting
Uncertainty Modeling
Temporal Aggregation
Time series
6 Citations (Scopus)
72 Downloads (Pure)
Open Access
File
Extrapolation
Forecast error
Performance feedback
Inefficiency
Experiment
2016
8 Citations (Scopus)
80 Downloads (Pure)

Another look at estimators for intermittent demand

Petropoulos, F., Kourentzes, N. & Nikolopoulos, K., Nov 2016, In : International Journal of Production Economics. 181, Part A, p. 154-161

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File
18 Citations (Scopus)
65 Downloads (Pure)

Do 'big losses' in judgmental adjustments to statistical forecasts affect experts' behaviour

Petropoulos, F., Fildes, R. & Goodwin, P., 16 Mar 2016, In : European Journal of Operational Research. 249, 3, p. 842-852 11 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
Forecast
Adjustment
Forecasting
Pharmaceuticals
Sports
26 Citations (Scopus)
89 Downloads (Pure)

Forecasting with multivariate temporal aggregation: the case of promotional modelling

Kourentzes, N. & Petropoulos, F., Nov 2016, In : International Journal of Production Economics. 181, Part A, p. 145-153

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File
10 Citations (Scopus)
127 Downloads (Pure)

Models for optimising the theta method and their relationship to state space models

Fioruci, J. A., Pellegrini, T. R., Louzada, F., Petropoulos, F. & Koehler, A. B., Oct 2016, In : International Journal of Forecasting. 32, 4, p. 1151-1161 11 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File
11 Citations (Scopus)
64 Downloads (Pure)

To select or to combine? The inventory performance of model and expert forecasts

Wang, X. & Petropoulos, F., 2016, In : International Journal of Production Research. 54, 17, p. 5271-5282 12 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File
2015
6 Citations (Scopus)
68 Downloads (Pure)

Amplifying the learning effect via a Forecasting and Foresight Support System

Spithourakis, G., Petropoulos, F., Nikolopoulos, K. & Assimakopoulos, V., 2015, In : International Journal of Forecasting. 31, 1, p. 20-32 13 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File
29 Citations (Scopus)
71 Downloads (Pure)

Forecasts combinations for intermittent demand

Petropoulos, F. & Kourentzes, N., 2015, In : Journal of the Operational Research Society. 66, 6, p. 914-924 11 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File

Improving forecast quality in practice

Fildes, R. & Petropoulos, F., 2015, In : Foresight: the International Journal of Applied Forecasting. 36, p. 5-12

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

3 Citations (Scopus)
66 Downloads (Pure)

Is there a Golden Rule?

Fildes, R. & Petropoulos, F., 2015, In : Journal of Business Research. 68, 8, p. 1742-1745 4 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File
5 Citations (Scopus)
43 Downloads (Pure)

Relative performance of methods for forecasting Unique Events

Nikolopoulos, K., Litsa, A., Petropoulos, F., Bougioukos, V. & Khammash, M., 2015, In : Journal of Business Research. 68, 8, p. 1785-1791 7 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File
26 Citations (Scopus)
63 Downloads (Pure)

Simple versus complex selection rules for forecasting many time series

Fildes, R. & Petropoulos, F., 2015, In : Journal of Business Research. 68, 8, p. 1692-1701 10 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File
2014
15 Citations (Scopus)
67 Downloads (Pure)

A Systemic View of ADIDA framework

Spithourakis, G., Petropoulos, F., Nikolopoulos, K. & Assimakopoulos, V., 2014, In : IMA Journal of Management Mathematics. 25, 2, p. 125-137 13 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File
48 Citations (Scopus)
120 Downloads (Pure)

Horses for Courses’ in demand forecasting

Petropoulos, F., Makridakis, S., Assimakopoulos, V. & Nikolopoulos, K., 16 Aug 2014, In : European Journal of Operational Research. 237, 1, p. 152-163 12 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File
60 Citations (Scopus)
71 Downloads (Pure)

Improving forecasting by estimating time series structural components across multiple frequencies

Kourentzes, N., Petropoulos, F. & Trapero Arenas, J. R., 2014, In : International Journal of Forecasting. 30, 2, p. 291-302 12 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File

Improving forecasting via multiple temporal aggregation

Petropoulos, F. & Kourentzes, N., 2014, In : Foresight: the International Journal of Applied Forecasting. 34, p. 12-17

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

2013
12 Citations (Scopus)
86 Downloads (Pure)

Empirical heuristics for improving Intermittent Demand Forecasting

Petropoulos, F., Nikolopoulos, K., Spithourakis, G. & Assimakopoulos, V., 2013, In : Industrial Management and Data Systems. 113, 5, p. 683-696 14 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File
Cost reduction
Automotive industry
Intermittent demand
Heuristics
Demand forecasting
2012
1 Citation (Scopus)

A web forecasting system supporting policy implementation: the case of ‘digital planning’ in Greece

Nikolopoulos, K., Litsa, A., Petropoulos, F., Metaxiotis, K. & Assimakopoulos, V., 31 Dec 2012, In : International Journal of Business Information Systems. 11, 4, p. 397-409 14 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

2011
49 Citations (Scopus)
90 Downloads (Pure)

An Aggregate - Disaggregate Intermittent Demand Approach (ADIDA) to forecasting: an empirical proposition and analysis

Nikolopoulos, K., Syntetos, A., Boylan, J. E., Petropoulos, F. & Assimakopoulos, V., 2011, In : Journal of the Operational Research Society. 62, 3, p. 544-554 11 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

File

Improving the performance of popular supply chain forecasting techniques

Spithourakis, G., Petropoulos, F., Babai, M. Z., Nikolopoulos, K. & Assimakopoulos, V., 2011, In : Supply Chain Forum. 12, 4, p. 16-25 10 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle