Photo of Fotios Petropoulos
  

View Scopus Profile

Fotios Petropoulos

DEng, BEng, Dr

 https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3039-4955

  • EAST BUILDING 3.01

20112020
If you made any changes in Pure these will be visible here soon.

Research Output 2011 2020

2020

A disaster response model driven by spatial-temporal forecasts

Nikolopoulos, K., Petropoulos, F., Sanchez Rodrigues, V., Pettit, S. & Beresford, A., 6 Jan 2020, (Accepted/In press) In : International Journal of Forecasting.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article

4 Citations (Scopus)

A Simple Combination of Univariate Models

Petropoulos, F. & Svetunkov, I., 1 Jan 2020, In : International Journal of Forecasting. 36, 1, p. 110-115 6 p.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article

2 Citations (Scopus)

Forecasting in social settings: the state of the art

Makridakis, S., Hyndman, R. J. & Petropoulos, F., 1 Jan 2020, In : International Journal of Forecasting. 36, 1, p. 15-28 14 p.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article

Open Access
1 Citation (Scopus)

The M4 competition: Bigger. Stronger. Better.

Petropoulos, F. & Makridakis, S., 1 Jan 2020, In : International Journal of Forecasting. 36, 1, p. 3-6 4 p.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Editorial

1 Citation (Scopus)

The M4 competition: Conclusions

Makridakis, S. & Petropoulos, F., 1 Jan 2020, In : International Journal of Forecasting. 36, 1, p. 224-227 4 p.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Editorial

2019
8 Citations (Scopus)
78 Downloads (Pure)

Another look at forecast selection and combination: evidence from forecast pooling

Kourentzes, N., Barrow, D. & Petropoulos, F., 1 Mar 2019, In : International Journal of Production Economics. 209, p. 226-235 10 p.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article

Open Access
File
Pooling
Uncertainty
Forecast combination
Decision modeling
Forecast error

Brain imaging and forecasting: Insights from judgmental model selection

Han, W., Wang, X., Petropoulos, F. & Wang, J., 30 Sep 2019, In : Omega: The International Journal of Management Science. 87, p. 1-9 9 p.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article

Cross-temporal aggregation: Improving the forecast accuracy of hierarchical electricity consumption

Spiliotis, E., Petropoulos, F., Kourentzes, N. & Assimakopoulos, V., 21 Dec 2019, In : Applied Energy. 261, 114339.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article

25 Downloads (Pure)

Forecasting for food demand

Petropoulos, F. & Carver, S., 2019, (Accepted/In press) Sustainable Food Supply Chains. Accorsi, R. & Manzini, R. (eds.). Elsevier

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Chapter

File
1 Citation (Scopus)
25 Downloads (Pure)

Improving the forecasting performance of temporal hierarchies

Spiliotis, E., Petropoulos, F. & Assimakopoulos, V., 3 Oct 2019, In : PLoS ONE. 14, 10, 21 p., e0223422.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article

Open Access
File
22 Downloads (Pure)

Judgmental model selection

Petropoulos, F., 2019, In : Foresight: the International Journal of Applied Forecasting. 2019, 54, p. 4-10 7 p.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article

Open Access
File
3 Citations (Scopus)

Probabilistic forecast reconciliation with applications to wind power and electric load

Jeon, J., Panagiotelis, A. & Petropoulos, F., 1 Dec 2019, In : European Journal of Operational Research. 279, 2, p. 364-379 16 p.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article

Supporting national planning through improved forecasting of demand for health services

Vasilakis, C., Petropoulos, F. & Cruze, V., Apr 2019, (Accepted/In press).

Research output: Contribution to conference › Abstract

6 Citations (Scopus)

The inventory performance of forecasting methods: evidence from the M3-competition data

Petropoulos, F., Wang, X. & Disney, S. M., 1 Jan 2019, In : International Journal of Forecasting. 35, 1, p. 251-265 15 p.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article

75 Downloads (Pure)

θ-Reflections from the Next Generation of Forecasters

Petropoulos, F., 2019, (Accepted/In press) Forecasting With The Theta Method: Theory and Applications. Nikolopoulos, K. & Thomakos, D. D. (eds.). Wiley, p. 163-176

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Chapter

File
2018
14 Citations (Scopus)
4 Downloads (Pure)

Exploring the sources of uncertainty: why does bagging for time series forecasting work?

Petropoulos, F., Hyndman, R. J. & Bergmeir, C., 16 Jul 2018, In : European Journal of Operational Research. 268, 2, p. 545-554 10 p.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article

Open Access
File
Time Series Forecasting
Bagging
Time series
Exponential Smoothing
Uncertainty

forecast: Forecasting functions for time series and linear models

Hyndman, R. J., Athanasopoulos, G., Bergmeir, C., Caceres, G., Chhay, L., O'Hara-Wild, M., Petropoulos, F., Razbash, S., Wang, E. & Yasmeen, F., 11 Apr 2018

Research output: Non-textual form › Software

8 Citations (Scopus)
110 Downloads (Pure)

Forecasting for big data: does suboptimality matter?

Nikolopoulos, K. & Petropoulos, F., 1 Oct 2018, In : Computers and Operations Research. 98, p. 322-329 8 p.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article

Open Access
File
Forecasting
Pursuit
Fruit
Optimal Parameter
Extrapolation
12 Citations (Scopus)
82 Downloads (Pure)

Judgmental Selection of Forecasting Models

Petropoulos, F., Kourentzes, N., Nikolopoulos, K. & Siemsen, E., 31 May 2018, In : Journal of Operations Management. 60, 1, p. 34-46 13 p.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article

Open Access
File
Time series
Agglomeration
Model selection
Experiments
Information criterion
1 Citation (Scopus)

Old dog, new tricks: a modelling view of simple moving averages

Svetunkov, I. & Petropoulos, F., 2018, In : International Journal of Production Research. 56, 18, p. 6034-6047 14 p.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article

Moving average
Dog
Modeling
Forecasting method
Statistical model
2 Citations (Scopus)
35 Downloads (Pure)

On reconciling macro and micro energy transport forecasts for strategic decision making in the tanker industry

Abouarghoub, W., Nomikos, N. & Petropoulos, F., 1 May 2018, In : Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review. 113, p. 225-238 14 p.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article

Open Access
File
shipping
Macros
Decision making
Freight transportation
energy

"Profit from Your Forecasting Software: A Best-Practice Guide for Sales Forecasters" by Paul Goodwin

Petropoulos, F., 2018, Foresight: the International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 51, p. 5-7 3 p.

Research output: Contribution to specialist publication › Book/Film/Article review

2017
141 Downloads (Pure)

A note on upper bounds for forecast-value-added relative to naive forecasts

Goodwin, P., Petropoulos, F. & Hyndman, R. J., Sep 2017, In : Journal of the Operational Research Society. 68, 9, p. 1082-1084

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article

Open Access
File
Value engineering
Costs
Upper bound
Value added
Forecasting method

Forecasting methods tutorial: The Theta Method

Petropoulos, F. & Nikolopoulos, K., 2017, In : Foresight: the International Journal of Applied Forecasting. 45, p. 11-17

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article

42 Citations (Scopus)
114 Downloads (Pure)

Forecasting with Temporal Hierarchies

Athanasopoulos, G., Hyndman, R. J., Kourentzes, N. & Petropoulos, F., 1 Oct 2017, In : European Journal of Operational Research. 262, 1, p. 60-74 15 p.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article

Open Access
File
Forecast
Forecasting
Uncertainty Modeling
Temporal Aggregation
Time series
7 Citations (Scopus)
106 Downloads (Pure)

Using a rolling training approach to improve judgmental extrapolations elicited from forecasters with technical knowledge

Petropoulos, F., Goodwin, P. & Fildes, R., Jan 2017, In : International Journal of Forecasting. 33, 1, p. 314-324 11 p.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article

Open Access
File
Extrapolation
Forecast error
Performance feedback
Inefficiency
Experiment
2016

Academia versus Practice: Two sides of the same coin

Petropoulos, F. & Kourentzes, N., 2016, In : Foresight: the International Journal of Applied Forecasting. 42, p. 37-39

Research output: Contribution to journal › Comment/debate

10 Citations (Scopus)
114 Downloads (Pure)

Another look at estimators for intermittent demand

Petropoulos, F., Kourentzes, N. & Nikolopoulos, K., Nov 2016, In : International Journal of Production Economics. 181, Part A, p. 154-161

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article

Open Access
File
19 Citations (Scopus)
65 Downloads (Pure)

Do 'big losses' in judgmental adjustments to statistical forecasts affect experts' behaviour

Petropoulos, F., Fildes, R. & Goodwin, P., 16 Mar 2016, In : European Journal of Operational Research. 249, 3, p. 842-852 11 p.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article

Open Access
Forecast
Adjustment
Forecasting
Pharmaceuticals
Sports
29 Citations (Scopus)
90 Downloads (Pure)

Forecasting with multivariate temporal aggregation: the case of promotional modelling

Kourentzes, N. & Petropoulos, F., 1 Nov 2016, In : International Journal of Production Economics. 181, Part A, p. 145-153 9 p.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article

Open Access

Misbehaving, misdesigning and miscommunicating

Nikolopoulos, K. & Petropoulos, F., 2016, In : Foresight: the International Journal of Applied Forecasting. 41, p. 18-19

Research output: Contribution to journal › Comment/debate

11 Citations (Scopus)
176 Downloads (Pure)

Models for optimising the theta method and their relationship to state space models

Fioruci, J. A., Pellegrini, T. R., Louzada, F., Petropoulos, F. & Koehler, A. B., Oct 2016, In : International Journal of Forecasting. 32, 4, p. 1151-1161 11 p.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article

Open Access
File

Predicting the improbable

Nikolopoulos, K. & Petropoulos, F., 2016, In : Chartered Banker. December 2016/January 2017, p. 44-45

Research output: Contribution to journal › Comment/debate

university teacher
event
13 Citations (Scopus)
101 Downloads (Pure)

To select or to combine? The inventory performance of model and expert forecasts

Wang, X. & Petropoulos, F., 2016, In : International Journal of Production Research. 54, 17, p. 5271-5282 12 p.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article

Open Access
File
2015
6 Citations (Scopus)
100 Downloads (Pure)

Amplifying the learning effect via a Forecasting and Foresight Support System

Spithourakis, G., Petropoulos, F., Nikolopoulos, K. & Assimakopoulos, V., 2015, In : International Journal of Forecasting. 31, 1, p. 20-32 13 p.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article

Open Access
File

Forecasting Support Systems: ways forward

Petropoulos, F., 2015, In : Foresight: the International Journal of Applied Forecasting. 39, p. 5-11

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article

33 Citations (Scopus)
99 Downloads (Pure)

Forecasts combinations for intermittent demand

Petropoulos, F. & Kourentzes, N., 2015, In : Journal of the Operational Research Society. 66, 6, p. 914-924 11 p.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article

Open Access
File

Improving forecast quality in practice

Fildes, R. & Petropoulos, F., 2015, In : Foresight: the International Journal of Applied Forecasting. 36, p. 5-12

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article

3 Citations (Scopus)
93 Downloads (Pure)

Is there a Golden Rule?

Fildes, R. & Petropoulos, F., 2015, In : Journal of Business Research. 68, 8, p. 1742-1745 4 p.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article

Open Access
File
6 Citations (Scopus)
69 Downloads (Pure)

Relative performance of methods for forecasting Unique Events

Nikolopoulos, K., Litsa, A., Petropoulos, F., Bougioukos, V. & Khammash, M., 2015, In : Journal of Business Research. 68, 8, p. 1785-1791 7 p.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article

Open Access
File
29 Citations (Scopus)
91 Downloads (Pure)

Simple versus complex selection rules for forecasting many time series

Fildes, R. & Petropoulos, F., 2015, In : Journal of Business Research. 68, 8, p. 1692-1701 10 p.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article

Open Access
File
2014
15 Citations (Scopus)
98 Downloads (Pure)

A Systemic View of ADIDA framework

Spithourakis, G., Petropoulos, F., Nikolopoulos, K. & Assimakopoulos, V., 2014, In : IMA Journal of Management Mathematics. 25, 2, p. 125-137 13 p.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article

Open Access
File
51 Citations (Scopus)
155 Downloads (Pure)

'Horses for Courses’ in demand forecasting

Petropoulos, F., Makridakis, S., Assimakopoulos, V. & Nikolopoulos, K., 16 Aug 2014, In : European Journal of Operational Research. 237, 1, p. 152-163 12 p.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article

Open Access
File
70 Citations (Scopus)
105 Downloads (Pure)

Improving forecasting by estimating time series structural components across multiple frequencies

Kourentzes, N., Petropoulos, F. & Trapero Arenas, J. R., 1 Apr 2014, In : International Journal of Forecasting. 30, 2, p. 291-302 12 p.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article

Open Access
File

Improving forecasting via multiple temporal aggregation

Petropoulos, F. & Kourentzes, N., 2014, In : Foresight: the International Journal of Applied Forecasting. 34, p. 12-17

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article

MAPA: Multiple Aggregation Prediction Algorithm

Kourentzes, N. & Petropoulos, F., 24 Mar 2014

Research output: Non-textual form › Software

time series
prediction
forecast

tsintermittent: Intermittent Time Series Forecasting

Kourentzes, N. & Petropoulos, F., 2014

Research output: Non-textual form › Software

Time series forecasting
Intermittent demand
2013
12 Citations (Scopus)
109 Downloads (Pure)

Empirical heuristics for improving Intermittent Demand Forecasting

Petropoulos, F., Nikolopoulos, K., Spithourakis, G. & Assimakopoulos, V., 2013, In : Industrial Management and Data Systems. 113, 5, p. 683-696 14 p.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article

Open Access
File
Cost reduction
Automotive industry
Intermittent demand
Heuristics
Demand forecasting
2 Citations (Scopus)

Optimizing Theta model for monthly data

Petropoulos, F. & Nikolopoulos, K., 27 May 2013, ICAART 2013 - Proceedings of the 5th International Conference on Agents and Artificial Intelligence. p. 190-195 6 p. (ICAART 2013 - Proceedings of the 5th International Conference on Agents and Artificial Intelligence; vol. 1).

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution

2012
1 Citation (Scopus)

A web forecasting system supporting policy implementation: the case of ‘digital planning’ in Greece

Nikolopoulos, K., Litsa, A., Petropoulos, F., Metaxiotis, K. & Assimakopoulos, V., 31 Dec 2012, In : International Journal of Business Information Systems. 11, 4, p. 397-409 14 p.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article