If you made any changes in Pure these will be visible here soon.

Research Output 2011 2020

2019
5 Citations (Scopus)
23 Downloads (Pure)

Another look at forecast selection and combination: evidence from forecast pooling

Kourentzes, N., Barrow, D. & Petropoulos, F., 1 Mar 2019, In : International Journal of Production Economics. 209, p. 226-235 10 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File
Pooling
Uncertainty
Forecast combination
Decision modeling
Forecast error

Brain imaging and forecasting: Insights from judgmental model selection

Han, W., Wang, X., Petropoulos, F. & Wang, J., 30 Sep 2019, In : Omega: The International Journal of Management Science. 87, p. 1-9 9 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Forecasting for food demand

Petropoulos, F. & Carver, S., 2019, (Accepted/In press) Sustainable Food Supply Chains. Accorsi, R. & Manzini, R. (eds.). Elsevier

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapter

3 Downloads (Pure)

Improving the forecasting performance of temporal hierarchies

Spiliotis, E., Petropoulos, F. & Assimakopoulos, V., 3 Oct 2019, In : PLoS ONE. 14, 10, 21 p., e0223422.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File
1 Downloads (Pure)

Judgmental model selection

Petropoulos, F., 2019, In : Foresight: the International Journal of Applied Forecasting. 2019, 54, p. 4-10 7 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File
2 Citations (Scopus)

Probabilistic forecast reconciliation with applications to wind power and electric load

Jeon, J., Panagiotelis, A. & Petropoulos, F., 22 May 2019, In : European Journal of Operational Research. 279, 2, p. 364-379 16 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Supporting national planning through improved forecasting of demand for health services

Vasilakis, C., Petropoulos, F. & Cruze, V., Apr 2019, (Accepted/In press).

Research output: Contribution to conferenceAbstract

5 Citations (Scopus)

The inventory performance of forecasting methods: evidence from the M3-competition data

Petropoulos, F., Wang, X. & Disney, S. M., 1 Jan 2019, In : International Journal of Forecasting. 35, 1, p. 251-265 15 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

1 Citation (Scopus)

The M4 competition: Conclusions

Makridakis, S. & Petropoulos, F., 11 Jul 2019, In : International Journal of Forecasting. 36, 1, p. 224-227 4 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalEditorial

1 Citation (Scopus)

The M4 competition: Bigger. Stronger. Better.

Petropoulos, F. & Makridakis, S., 11 Jul 2019, In : International Journal of Forecasting. 36, 1, p. 3-6 4 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalEditorial

40 Downloads (Pure)

θ-Reflections from the Next Generation of Forecasters

Petropoulos, F., 2019, (Accepted/In press) Forecasting With The Theta Method: Theory and Applications. Nikolopoulos, K. & Thomakos, D. D. (eds.). Wiley, p. 163-176

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapter

File
2018
12 Citations (Scopus)

Exploring the sources of uncertainty: why does bagging for time series forecasting work?

Petropoulos, F., Hyndman, R. J. & Bergmeir, C., 16 Jul 2018, In : European Journal of Operational Research. 268, 2, p. 545-554 10 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Time Series Forecasting
Bagging
Time series
Exponential Smoothing
Uncertainty

forecast: Forecasting functions for time series and linear models

Hyndman, R. J., Athanasopoulos, G., Bergmeir, C., Caceres, G., Chhay, L., O'Hara-Wild, M., Petropoulos, F., Razbash, S., Wang, E. & Yasmeen, F., 11 Apr 2018

Research output: Non-textual formSoftware

8 Citations (Scopus)
79 Downloads (Pure)

Forecasting for big data: does suboptimality matter?

Nikolopoulos, K. & Petropoulos, F., 1 Oct 2018, In : Computers and Operations Research. 98, p. 322-329 8 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File
Forecasting
Pursuit
Fruit
Optimal Parameter
Extrapolation
8 Citations (Scopus)
53 Downloads (Pure)

Judgmental Selection of Forecasting Models

Petropoulos, F., Kourentzes, N., Nikolopoulos, K. & Siemsen, E., 31 May 2018, In : Journal of Operations Management. 60, 1, p. 34-46 13 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File
Time series
Agglomeration
Model selection
Experiments
Information criterion
1 Citation (Scopus)

Old dog, new tricks: a modelling view of simple moving averages

Svetunkov, I. & Petropoulos, F., 2018, In : International Journal of Production Research. 56, 18, p. 6034-6047 14 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Moving average
Dog
Modeling
Forecasting method
Statistical model
2 Citations (Scopus)
18 Downloads (Pure)
Open Access
File
shipping
Macros
Decision making
Freight transportation
energy

"Profit from Your Forecasting Software: A Best-Practice Guide for Sales Forecasters" by Paul Goodwin

Petropoulos, F., 2018, Foresight: the International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 51, p. 5-7 3 p.

Research output: Contribution to specialist publicationBook/Film/Article review

2017
99 Downloads (Pure)

A note on upper bounds for forecast-value-added relative to naive forecasts

Goodwin, P., Petropoulos, F. & Hyndman, R. J., Sep 2017, In : Journal of the Operational Research Society. 68, 9, p. 1082-1084

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File
Value engineering
Costs
Upper bound
Value added
Forecasting method

Forecasting methods tutorial: The Theta Method

Petropoulos, F. & Nikolopoulos, K., 2017, In : Foresight: the International Journal of Applied Forecasting. 45, p. 11-17

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

37 Citations (Scopus)
74 Downloads (Pure)

Forecasting with Temporal Hierarchies

Athanasopoulos, G., Hyndman, R. J., Kourentzes, N. & Petropoulos, F., 1 Oct 2017, In : European Journal of Operational Research. 262, 1, p. 60-74 15 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File
Forecast
Forecasting
Uncertainty Modeling
Temporal Aggregation
Time series
6 Citations (Scopus)
72 Downloads (Pure)
Open Access
File
Extrapolation
Forecast error
Performance feedback
Inefficiency
Experiment
2016

Academia versus Practice: Two sides of the same coin

Petropoulos, F. & Kourentzes, N., 2016, In : Foresight: the International Journal of Applied Forecasting. 42, p. 37-39

Research output: Contribution to journalComment/debate

7 Citations (Scopus)
80 Downloads (Pure)

Another look at estimators for intermittent demand

Petropoulos, F., Kourentzes, N. & Nikolopoulos, K., Nov 2016, In : International Journal of Production Economics. 181, Part A, p. 154-161

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File
18 Citations (Scopus)
65 Downloads (Pure)

Do 'big losses' in judgmental adjustments to statistical forecasts affect experts' behaviour

Petropoulos, F., Fildes, R. & Goodwin, P., 16 Mar 2016, In : European Journal of Operational Research. 249, 3, p. 842-852 11 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
Forecast
Adjustment
Forecasting
Pharmaceuticals
Sports
26 Citations (Scopus)
88 Downloads (Pure)

Forecasting with multivariate temporal aggregation: the case of promotional modelling

Kourentzes, N. & Petropoulos, F., Nov 2016, In : International Journal of Production Economics. 181, Part A, p. 145-153

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File

Misbehaving, misdesigning and miscommunicating

Nikolopoulos, K. & Petropoulos, F., 2016, In : Foresight: the International Journal of Applied Forecasting. 41, p. 18-19

Research output: Contribution to journalComment/debate

10 Citations (Scopus)
122 Downloads (Pure)

Models for optimising the theta method and their relationship to state space models

Fioruci, J. A., Pellegrini, T. R., Louzada, F., Petropoulos, F. & Koehler, A. B., Oct 2016, In : International Journal of Forecasting. 32, 4, p. 1151-1161 11 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File

Predicting the improbable

Nikolopoulos, K. & Petropoulos, F., 2016, In : Chartered Banker. December 2016/January 2017, p. 44-45

Research output: Contribution to journalComment/debate

university teacher
event
11 Citations (Scopus)
63 Downloads (Pure)

To select or to combine? The inventory performance of model and expert forecasts

Wang, X. & Petropoulos, F., 2016, In : International Journal of Production Research. 54, 17, p. 5271-5282 12 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File
2015
6 Citations (Scopus)
67 Downloads (Pure)

Amplifying the learning effect via a Forecasting and Foresight Support System

Spithourakis, G., Petropoulos, F., Nikolopoulos, K. & Assimakopoulos, V., 2015, In : International Journal of Forecasting. 31, 1, p. 20-32 13 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File
29 Citations (Scopus)
71 Downloads (Pure)

Forecasts combinations for intermittent demand

Petropoulos, F. & Kourentzes, N., 2015, In : Journal of the Operational Research Society. 66, 6, p. 914-924 11 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File

Improving forecast quality in practice

Fildes, R. & Petropoulos, F., 2015, In : Foresight: the International Journal of Applied Forecasting. 36, p. 5-12

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

3 Citations (Scopus)
66 Downloads (Pure)

Is there a Golden Rule?

Fildes, R. & Petropoulos, F., 2015, In : Journal of Business Research. 68, 8, p. 1742-1745 4 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File
5 Citations (Scopus)
42 Downloads (Pure)

Relative performance of methods for forecasting Unique Events

Nikolopoulos, K., Litsa, A., Petropoulos, F., Bougioukos, V. & Khammash, M., 2015, In : Journal of Business Research. 68, 8, p. 1785-1791 7 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File
26 Citations (Scopus)
63 Downloads (Pure)

Simple versus complex selection rules for forecasting many time series

Fildes, R. & Petropoulos, F., 2015, In : Journal of Business Research. 68, 8, p. 1692-1701 10 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File
2014
15 Citations (Scopus)
66 Downloads (Pure)

A Systemic View of ADIDA framework

Spithourakis, G., Petropoulos, F., Nikolopoulos, K. & Assimakopoulos, V., 2014, In : IMA Journal of Management Mathematics. 25, 2, p. 125-137 13 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File
48 Citations (Scopus)
118 Downloads (Pure)

Horses for Courses’ in demand forecasting

Petropoulos, F., Makridakis, S., Assimakopoulos, V. & Nikolopoulos, K., 16 Aug 2014, In : European Journal of Operational Research. 237, 1, p. 152-163 12 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File
59 Citations (Scopus)
71 Downloads (Pure)

Improving forecasting by estimating time series structural components across multiple frequencies

Kourentzes, N., Petropoulos, F. & Trapero Arenas, J. R., 2014, In : International Journal of Forecasting. 30, 2, p. 291-302 12 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File

Improving forecasting via multiple temporal aggregation

Petropoulos, F. & Kourentzes, N., 2014, In : Foresight: the International Journal of Applied Forecasting. 34, p. 12-17

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

MAPA: Multiple Aggregation Prediction Algorithm

Kourentzes, N. & Petropoulos, F., 24 Mar 2014

Research output: Non-textual formSoftware

time series
prediction
forecast

tsintermittent: Intermittent Time Series Forecasting

Kourentzes, N. & Petropoulos, F., 2014

Research output: Non-textual formSoftware

Time series forecasting
Intermittent demand
2013
12 Citations (Scopus)
84 Downloads (Pure)

Empirical heuristics for improving Intermittent Demand Forecasting

Petropoulos, F., Nikolopoulos, K., Spithourakis, G. & Assimakopoulos, V., 2013, In : Industrial Management and Data Systems. 113, 5, p. 683-696 14 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File
Cost reduction
Automotive industry
Intermittent demand
Heuristics
Demand forecasting
2012
1 Citation (Scopus)

A web forecasting system supporting policy implementation: the case of ‘digital planning’ in Greece

Nikolopoulos, K., Litsa, A., Petropoulos, F., Metaxiotis, K. & Assimakopoulos, V., 31 Dec 2012, In : International Journal of Business Information Systems. 11, 4, p. 397-409 14 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

2011
49 Citations (Scopus)
89 Downloads (Pure)

An Aggregate - Disaggregate Intermittent Demand Approach (ADIDA) to forecasting: an empirical proposition and analysis

Nikolopoulos, K., Syntetos, A., Boylan, J. E., Petropoulos, F. & Assimakopoulos, V., 2011, In : Journal of the Operational Research Society. 62, 3, p. 544-554 11 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

File

Improving the performance of popular supply chain forecasting techniques

Spithourakis, G., Petropoulos, F., Babai, M. Z., Nikolopoulos, K. & Assimakopoulos, V., 2011, In : Supply Chain Forum. 12, 4, p. 16-25 10 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle