Research Output per year
Personal profile
Research interests
I am interested in research on time series forecasting, judgmental approaches for forecasting, statistical and judgmental model selection and integrated business forecasting processes. My research so far has focused on the improvement of forecasting processes and more specifically around two streams. First, I have examined how additional information can be extracted from time series data through time transformation (temporal aggregation) and the use of hierarchies. Second, I have investigated interactions between forecasting and management judgment.
Willing to supervise PhD
I welcome enquiries from potential PhD students in the areas of forecasting and behavioural operational research.
Education/Academic qualification
Electrical and Computer Engineering, Doctor of Engineering, National Technical University of Athens
Electrical and Computer Engineering, Bachelor of Engineering, National Technical University of Athens
External positions
Associate Editor, International Journal of Forecasting
Sep 2016 → …Director (elected), International Institute of Forecasters
May 2016 → …Forecasting Support Systems Editor, Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting
Jan 2015 → …Keywords
- forecasting
- judgment
- temporal aggregation
- forecast combinations
- forecasting support systems
- decision making
- forecasting process
- hierarchies
- behavioral operations
- analytics
- big data
- supply chain
Fingerprint Fingerprint is based on mining the text of the person's scientific documents to create an index of weighted terms, which defines the key subjects of each individual researcher.
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Recent external collaboration on country level. Dive into details by clicking on the dots.
Research Output 2011 2018
Another look at forecast selection and combination: evidence from forecast pooling
Kourentzes, N., Barrow, D. & Petropoulos, F. 18 May 2018 In : International Journal of Production Economics.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article
Pooling
Uncertainty
Forecast combination
Decision modeling
Forecast error
Exploring the sources of uncertainty: why does bagging for time series forecasting work?
Petropoulos, F., Hyndman, R. J. & Bergmeir, C. 16 Jul 2018 In : European Journal of Operational Research. 268, 2, p. 545-554Research output: Contribution to journal › Article
Time Series Forecasting
Bagging
Time series
Exponential Smoothing
Uncertainty
forecast: Forecasting functions for time series and linear models
Hyndman, R. J., Athanasopoulos, G., Bergmeir, C., Caceres, G., Chhay, L., O'Hara-Wild, M., Petropoulos, F., Razbash, S., Wang, E. & Yasmeen, F. 11 Apr 2018Research output: Non-textual form › Software
Judgmental Selection of Forecasting Models
Petropoulos, F., Kourentzes, N., Nikolopoulos, K. & Siemsen, E. May 2018 In : Journal of Operations Management. 60, p. 34-46Research output: Contribution to journal › Article
Open Access
File
Time series
Agglomeration
Model selection
Experiments
Information criterion
On reconciling macro and micro energy transport forecasts for strategic decision making in the tanker industry
Abouarghoub, W., Nomikos, N. & Petropoulos, F. 1 May 2018 In : Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review. 113, p. 225-238 24 p.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article
shipping
Macros
Decision making
Freight transportation
energy