Fotios Petropoulos

Dr, DEng, BEng

  • EAST BUILDING 3.01A

Accepting PhD Students

20112018
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Personal profile

Research interests

I am interested in research on time series forecasting, judgmental approaches for forecasting, statistical and judgmental model selection and integrated business forecasting processes. My research so far has focused on the improvement of forecasting processes and more specifically around two streams. First, I have examined how additional information can be extracted from time series data through time transformation (temporal aggregation) and the use of hierarchies. Second, I have investigated interactions between forecasting and management judgment.

Willing to supervise PhD

I welcome enquiries from potential PhD students in the areas of forecasting and behavioural operational research.

Education/Academic qualification

Electrical and Computer Engineering, Doctor of Engineering, National Technical University of Athens

Electrical and Computer Engineering, Bachelor of Engineering, National Technical University of Athens

External positions

Associate Editor, International Journal of Forecasting

Sep 2016 → …

Director (elected), International Institute of Forecasters

May 2016 → …

Forecasting Support Systems Editor, Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting

Jan 2015 → …

Keywords

  • forecasting
  • judgment
  • temporal aggregation
  • forecast combinations
  • forecasting support systems
  • decision making
  • forecasting process
  • hierarchies
  • behavioral operations
  • analytics
  • big data
  • supply chain

Fingerprint Fingerprint is based on mining the text of the person's scientific documents to create an index of weighted terms, which defines the key subjects of each individual researcher.

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Research Output 2011 2018

Another look at forecast selection and combination: evidence from forecast pooling

Kourentzes, N., Barrow, D. & Petropoulos, F. 18 May 2018 In : International Journal of Production Economics.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Pooling
Uncertainty
Forecast combination
Decision modeling
Forecast error

Exploring the sources of uncertainty: why does bagging for time series forecasting work?

Petropoulos, F., Hyndman, R. J. & Bergmeir, C. 16 Jul 2018 In : European Journal of Operational Research. 268, 2, p. 545-554

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Time Series Forecasting
Bagging
Time series
Exponential Smoothing
Uncertainty

forecast: Forecasting functions for time series and linear models

Hyndman, R. J., Athanasopoulos, G., Bergmeir, C., Caceres, G., Chhay, L., O'Hara-Wild, M., Petropoulos, F., Razbash, S., Wang, E. & Yasmeen, F. 11 Apr 2018

Research output: Non-textual formSoftware

Judgmental Selection of Forecasting Models

Petropoulos, F., Kourentzes, N., Nikolopoulos, K. & Siemsen, E. May 2018 In : Journal of Operations Management. 60, p. 34-46

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
File
Time series
Agglomeration
Model selection
Experiments
Information criterion
shipping
Macros
Decision making
Freight transportation
energy